---
title: "Bank case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Bank ($0.20) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.90% from 35 items with odds, observed 89.89% over 1,801 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bank
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Bank](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bank)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Bank

A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bank?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bank?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bank) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bank?window=all)

Price · $0.20

Advertised RTP · 91.90% · EV $0.18 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.89% · 1,801 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76.62% ±21.45 173 openings

7 days · 89.89% ±6.65 1,801 openings

30 days · 89.89% ±6.65 1,801 openings

since tracking started · 89.89% ±6.65 1,801 openings

54.5% 76.5% 98.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bank?window=24h) | 173 | 76.62% ±21.4 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bank?window=7d) | 1,801 | 89.89% ±6.65 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bank) | 1,801 | 89.89% ±6.65 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bank?window=all) | 1,801 | 89.89% ±6.65 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,986 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-factory-new) | 1 in 19,231 | $10.03 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 3,922 | $3.81 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,135 | $3.70 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) | 1 in 2,008 | $3.04 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 885 | $2.02 | 1.2% | 4 | 2.2 | 1.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 705 | $2.01 | 1.6% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.78× |
| [MP7 \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 520 | $1.79 | 1.9% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.83× |
| [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 637 | $1.66 | 1.4% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) | 1 in 410 | $1.59 | 2.1% | 1 | 4.8 | 0.21× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 289 | $1.37 | 2.6% | 17 | 6.9 | 2.48× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-factory-new) | 1 in 218 | $1.08 | 2.7% | 6 | 9.1 | 0.66× |
| [Tec-9 \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 166 | $1.04 | 3.4% | 7 | 12.0 | 0.58× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-field-tested) | 1 in 121 | $0.97 | 4.4% | 13 | 16.4 | 0.79× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $0.97 | 4.2% | 15 | 15.9 | 0.94× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $0.83 | 4.8% | 20 | 21.1 | 0.95× |
| [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $0.75 | 4.9% | 17 | 24.0 | 0.71× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $0.58 | 5.6% | 40 | 35.1 | 1.14× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $0.49 | 5.7% | 43 | 42.5 | 1.01× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.22 | 9.3% | 150 | 154.3 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.17 | 4.5% | 94 | 97.6 | 0.96× |
| [MAC-10 \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.17 | 7.7% | 146 | 165.5 | 0.88× |
| [MAC-10 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.15 | 4.0% | 99 | 97.6 | 1.01× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.14 | 3.7% | 93 | 97.6 | 0.95× |
| [UMP-45 \| Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.11 | 2.9% | 105 | 97.6 | 1.08× |
| [Nova \| Caged Steel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.11 | 2.9% | 95 | 97.6 | 0.97× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.10 | 2.7% | 110 | 97.6 | 1.13× |
| [UMP-45 \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.09 | 2.4% | 107 | 97.6 | 1.10× |
| [Nova \| Caged Steel (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.07 | 1.9% | 104 | 97.6 | 1.07× |
| [MP7 \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.06 | 1.6% | 94 | 97.6 | 0.96× |
| [Tec-9 \| Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.06 | 1.6% | 94 | 97.6 | 0.96× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.06 | 1.6% | 91 | 97.6 | 0.93× |
| [SG 553 \| Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.05 | 1.3% | 103 | 97.6 | 1.06× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.04 | 1.1% | 98 | 97.6 | 1.00× |
| [Negev \| Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.04 | 1.1% | 111 | 97.6 | 1.14× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.03 | 0.8% | 94 | 97.6 | 0.96× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/bank/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=bank)

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-minimal-wear) [Салимов Тимур](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A1%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%A2%D0%B8%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%80) $0.20 $0.04 0.20x 2026-11-11 14:46 UTC

[MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) [kеnт✓](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/k%D0%B5n%D1%82%E2%9C%93) $0.20 $0.15 0.75x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC

[MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-factory-new) [Fallen Samurai](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fallen%20Samurai) $0.20 $0.15 0.75x 2026-11-11 14:25 UTC

[G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-minimal-wear) [Fallen Samurai](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fallen%20Samurai) $0.20 $0.06 0.30x 2026-11-11 14:25 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-factory-new) [Fallen Samurai](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fallen%20Samurai) $0.20 $0.49 2.45x 2026-11-11 14:25 UTC

[UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) [Fallen Samurai](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fallen%20Samurai) $0.20 $0.11 0.55x 2026-11-11 14:25 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) [Fallen Samurai](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fallen%20Samurai) $0.20 $0.83 4.15x 2026-11-11 14:25 UTC

[MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-minimal-wear) [L](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/L) $0.20 $0.17 0.85x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC

[SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) [MaeJ1b](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MaeJ1b) $0.20 $0.05 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-field-tested) [MaeJ1b](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/MaeJ1b) $0.20 $0.22 1.10x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.20 | 91.90% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.20 | 94.00% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Mythical 0.2% classified 0.1% Rare 1.8% Consumer Grade 0.2% Mil Spec Grade 0.2% mil spec 2.3% Legendary 0.3% blue 0.5% consumer 22.4% milspec 0.8% #B0C3D9 6.0% #4b69ff 7.8% industrial 42.7% light blue 4.9% #87c7ff 4.9% Common 4.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.90 on average: an expected loss of $8.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt