---
title: "Bichpaket case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Bichpaket ($1.56) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.89% from 42 items with odds, observed 93.80% over 4,892 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bichpaket
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Bichpaket](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bichpaket)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Bichpaket

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bichpaket?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bichpaket?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bichpaket) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bichpaket?window=all)

Price · $1.56

Advertised RTP · 93.89% · EV $1.46 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.80% · 4,892 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.75% ±8.96 725 openings

7 days · 93.92% ±3.46 4,870 openings

30 days · 93.80% ±3.45 4,892 openings

since tracking started · 93.80% ±3.45 4,892 openings

84.0% 93.8% 103.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bichpaket?window=24h) | 725 | 93.75% ±8.96 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bichpaket?window=7d) | 4,870 | 93.92% ±3.46 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bichpaket) | 4,892 | 93.80% ±3.45 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bichpaket?window=all) | 4,892 | 93.80% ±3.45 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,892 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 166,667 | $139 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166,667 | $128 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 90,909 | $90.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-well-worn) | 1 in 38,462 | $49.50 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-field-tested) | 1 in 15,873 | $39.23 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 13,889 | $38.13 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-well-worn) | 1 in 14,085 | $37.40 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,346 | $34.66 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,937 | $29.52 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $28.66 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,757 | $28.30 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,634 | $17.03 | 0.7% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 1,642 | $14.81 | 0.6% | 7 | 3.0 | 2.35× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) | 1 in 522 | $10.49 | 1.4% | 14 | 9.4 | 1.49× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Epicenter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-epicenter-field-tested) | 1 in 281 | $8.95 | 2.2% | 22 | 17.4 | 1.26× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 243 | $7.95 | 2.2% | 21 | 20.2 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 216 | $7.71 | 2.4% | 26 | 22.6 | 1.15× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-well-worn) | 1 in 112 | $4.75 | 2.9% | 35 | 43.6 | 0.80× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $4.36 | 3.5% | 59 | 56.9 | 1.04× |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-well-worn) | 1 in 106 | $4.28 | 2.8% | 30 | 46.2 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $4.07 | 3.2% | 54 | 56.3 | 0.96× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $3.99 | 3.3% | 69 | 58.7 | 1.17× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $3.96 | 4.0% | 62 | 72.0 | 0.86× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $3.80 | 3.7% | 60 | 69.2 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 76 | $3.78 | 3.4% | 52 | 64.4 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $3.57 | 3.8% | 71 | 75.3 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $2.98 | 3.7% | 94 | 88.7 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $2.94 | 3.1% | 83 | 76.7 | 1.08× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $2.88 | 4.1% | 111 | 102.9 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $2.70 | 3.7% | 111 | 98.5 | 1.13× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $2.61 | 4.4% | 106 | 119.8 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $2.55 | 4.2% | 124 | 119.0 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $2.51 | 4.2% | 119 | 119.0 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.63 | 5.7% | 237 | 248.5 | 0.95× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $1.62 | 5.1% | 229 | 226.3 | 1.01× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $1.52 | 5.0% | 250 | 237.0 | 1.05× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $1.37 | 5.3% | 301 | 278.0 | 1.08× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.56 | 2.9% | 347 | 368.2 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-battle-scarred) | 10.1% | $0.30 | 2.1% | 495 | 492.5 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Wash me plz (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $0.28 | 1.9% | 488 | 486.4 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-factory-new) | 11.8% | $0.20 | 1.6% | 620 | 577.1 | 1.07× |
| [M4A1-S \| Rose Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-field-tested) | 12.9% | $0.15 | 1.3% | 592 | 631.5 | 0.94× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/bichpaket/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=bichpaket)

[Galil AR | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-factory-new) [༒☬☠panda☠︎☬༒](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%E0%BC%92%E2%98%AC%E2%98%A0panda%E2%98%A0%EF%B8%8E%E2%98%AC%E0%BC%92) $1.56 $0.20 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Crossfade (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-minimal-wear) [Бобр жора](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%91%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%80%20%D0%B6%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B0) $1.56 $2.70 1.73x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) [Бобр жора](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%91%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%80%20%D0%B6%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B0) $1.56 $1.37 0.88x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) [Бобр жора](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%91%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%80%20%D0%B6%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B0) $1.56 $1.37 0.88x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $1.56 $1.37 0.88x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) [Тимофей Каплиёв](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A2%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%84%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BF%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%91%D0%B2) $1.56 $3.57 2.29x 2026-11-11 08:04 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-field-tested) [Тимофей Каплиёв](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A2%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%84%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BF%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%91%D0%B2) $1.56 $0.15 0.10x 2026-11-11 08:04 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) [Тимофей Каплиёв](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A2%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%84%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BF%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%91%D0%B2) $1.56 $1.63 1.04x 2026-11-11 08:04 UTC

[M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-factory-new) [Тимофей Каплиёв](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A2%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%84%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BF%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%91%D0%B2) $1.56 $0.28 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:04 UTC

[Galil AR | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-factory-new) [Тимофей Каплиёв](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A2%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%84%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BF%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%91%D0%B2) $1.56 $0.20 0.13x 2026-11-11 08:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.56 | 93.89% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.60 | 91.55% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.60 | 93.06% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% Immortal 0.0% classified 1.5% red 0.0% Ancient 0.0% restricted 20.8% blue 2.1% violet 0.2% uncommon 0.4% Legendary 6.1% pink 7.1% Mythical 6.0% rare 0.9% #d32ce6 2.7% #8847ff 7.5% Rare 23.0% industrial 9.9% #5e98d9 11.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.89 on average: an expected loss of $6.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt