--- title: "Bizon case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bizon ($0.40) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.44% from 36 items with odds, observed 88.53% over 75 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bizon rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Bizon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bizon) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Bizon A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bizon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bizon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bizon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bizon?window=all) Price · $0.40 Advertised RTP · 94.44% · EV $0.38 from 36 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.53% · 75 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 61.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 75 openings · below min 30 days · 75 openings · below min since tracking started · 75 openings · below min 43.5% 122.5% 201.5% **Small sample.** 75 openings and 18.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bizon?window=24h) | 8 | 122.50% ±78.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bizon?window=7d) | 75 | 88.53% ±25.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bizon) | 75 | 88.53% ±25.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bizon?window=all) | 75 | 88.53% ±25.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 121 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [PP-Bizon \| Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-modern-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333,333 | $68.17 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $44.60 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 66,667 | $23.02 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $22.56 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) | 1 in 25,641 | $12.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-factory-new) | 1 in 8,264 | $9.66 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Bamboo Print (Minimal Wear) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bamboo-print-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $6.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Cobalt Halftone (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-factory-new) | 1 in 1,799 | $5.13 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Seabird (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-seabird-minimal-wear) | 1 in 967 | $3.67 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-factory-new) | 1 in 401 | $2.61 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 202 | $2.15 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Breaker Box (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-breaker-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $1.62 | 3.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× | | [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $1.27 | 4.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.69× | | [PP-Bizon \| Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $1.16 | 4.8% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× | | [PP-Bizon \| Urban Dashed (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-urban-dashed-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $0.86 | 5.3% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× | | [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $0.80 | 6.5% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× | | [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $0.68 | 6.5% | 6 | 4.4 | 1.37× | | [PP-Bizon \| Runic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-runic-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $0.54 | 7.5% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.95× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $0.53 | 7.6% | 8 | 6.5 | 1.23× | | [PP-Bizon \| Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-death-rattle-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.48 | 8.3% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $0.43 | 9.2% | 17 | 9.8 | 1.73× | | [PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-harvester-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.38 | 4.1% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× | | [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.36 | 3.9% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.22× | | [PP-Bizon \| Anolis (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-anolis-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.29 | 3.1% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.22× | | [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.22 | 2.4% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.81× | | [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.20 | 2.2% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.81× | | [PP-Bizon \| Night Ops (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-ops-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.18 | 1.9% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.22× | | [PP-Bizon \| Anolis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-anolis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.18 | 1.9% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Runic (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-runic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.16 | 1.7% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.16 | 1.7% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× | | [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.12 | 1.3% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.42× | | [PP-Bizon \| Cold Cell (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cold-cell-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.12 | 1.3% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× | | [PP-Bizon \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.11 | 1.2% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Runic (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-runic-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.07 | 0.8% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.06 | 0.6% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.06 | 0.6% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.81× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/bizon/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=bizon) [PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-field-tested) [muō](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/mu%C5%8D) $0.40 $0.20 0.50x 2026-11-11 00:40 UTC [PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-minimal-wear) [Максим Тельнов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%A2%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.40 $0.36 0.90x 2026-11-10 19:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Runic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-runic-factory-new) [Максим Тельнов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%A2%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.40 $0.54 1.35x 2026-11-10 19:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-death-rattle-field-tested) [Максим Тельнов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%A2%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.40 $0.48 1.20x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-ops-factory-new) [Максим Тельнов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%A2%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.40 $0.18 0.45x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-minimal-wear) [Максим Тельнов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%A2%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.40 $0.68 1.70x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-minimal-wear) [Максим Тельнов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%A2%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.40 $0.68 1.70x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | RMX (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-factory-new) [Максим Тельнов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%20%D0%A2%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.40 $0.80 2.00x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | RMX (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-field-tested) [SirGay4ik😎](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/SirGay4ik%F0%9F%98%8E) $0.40 $0.12 0.30x 2026-11-10 07:45 UTC [PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-anolis-minimal-wear) [SirGay4ik😎](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/SirGay4ik%F0%9F%98%8E) $0.40 $0.18 0.45x 2026-11-10 07:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.40 | 94.44% | 36 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.40 | 94.00% | 36 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 4.1% Mil Spec Grade 0.0% mil spec 0.1% classified 0.0% industrial 16.3% restricted 2.1% #B0C3D9 0.0% Common 4.2% #4b69ff 17.7% Industrial Grade 0.9% #8847ff 1.2% Consumer Grade 6.4% blue 23.4% Restricted 3.6% consumer 11.9% milspec 4.1% #87c7ff 4.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.44 on average: an expected loss of $5.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt