---
title: "Bleach case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Bleach ($147.14) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 42 items with odds, observed 114.34% over 13 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bleach
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Bleach](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bleach)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Bleach

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bleach?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bleach?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bleach) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bleach?window=all)

Price · $147.14

Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $138.31 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 114.34% · 13 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 13 openings · below min

30 days · 13 openings · below min

since tracking started · 13 openings · below min

28.5% 114.3% 200.0%

**Small sample.** 13 openings and 2.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bleach?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bleach?window=7d) | 13 | 114.34% ±85.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bleach) | 13 | 114.34% ±85.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bleach?window=all) | 13 | 114.34% ±85.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $35.7K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 250,000 | $30.6K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 58,824 | $13.2K | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $13.1K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 45,455 | $8,078 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 47,619 | $7,857 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 22,222 | $5,910 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 17,241 | $5,485 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 18,519 | $5,029 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $3,399 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,525 | $3,133 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 1,969 | $2,135 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,016 | $2,024 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 1,558 | $1,732 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,011 | $1,621 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 332 | $1,115 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 386 | $1,079 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 337 | $1,031 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 129 | $784 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $665 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $589 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $544 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $351 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $317 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $304 | 6.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $268 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $261 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $130 | 8.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.70× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $124 | 7.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $74.93 | 3.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $72.74 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $70.53 | 3.4% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [AUG \| Lil' Pig (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $57.89 | 2.7% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $50.22 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $46.47 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $38.73 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $30.11 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $27.42 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $22.37 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $15.90 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Factory New) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $15.85 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $12.26 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/bleach/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $147 $1,079 7.33x 2026-11-07 21:05 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=bleach)

[★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $147 $1,079 7.33x 2026-11-07 21:05 UTC

[MAG-7 | Prism Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-minimal-wear) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $147 $30.11 0.20x 2026-11-07 21:04 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-factory-new) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $147 $130 0.88x 2026-11-07 21:04 UTC

[AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-minimal-wear) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $147 $22.37 0.15x 2026-11-07 20:46 UTC

[USP-S | Serum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-factory-new) [나丩丁仨尸 777](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%EB%82%98%E4%B8%A9%E4%B8%81%E4%BB%A8%E5%B0%B8%20777) $147 $70.53 0.48x 2026-11-06 13:10 UTC

[USP-S | Serum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-factory-new) [supa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/supa) $152 $70.53 0.47x 2026-11-05 05:05 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-factory-new) [supa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/supa) $152 $130 0.86x 2026-11-05 05:04 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-well-worn) [Антон Ш](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%BD%20%D0%A8) $152 $74.93 0.49x 2026-11-05 02:09 UTC

[USP-S | Serum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-factory-new) [Hssgsggse](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Hssgsggse) $152 $70.53 0.47x 2026-11-04 22:24 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Hssgsggse](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Hssgsggse) $152 $304 2.00x 2026-11-04 22:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $147 | 94.00% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $152 | 91.29% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $152 | 93.81% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 18.8% legendary 3.1% covert 14.8% contraband 0.0% covert knife 9.5% #eb4b4b 1.9% sunny 3.9% rare 9.8% classified 18.8% Legendary 8.6% restricted 3.9% red 3.8% #d32ce6 3.0% best hit $1,079 (7.33x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt