---
title: "Bowie case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Bowie ($82.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.89% from 30 items with odds, observed 107.73% over 11 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bowie
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Bowie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bowie)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Bowie

A case on CSGORUN (knives2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bowie?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bowie?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bowie) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bowie?window=all)

Price · $82.99

Advertised RTP · 94.89% · EV $78.75 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 107.73% · 11 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 32.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 11 openings · below min

30 days · 11 openings · below min

since tracking started · 11 openings · below min

76.0% 107.8% 139.5%

**Small sample.** 11 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bowie?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bowie?window=7d) | 11 | 107.73% ±30.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bowie) | 11 | 107.73% ±30.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bowie?window=all) | 11 | 107.73% ±30.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 5,348 | $696 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,082 | $509 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,181 | $478 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 740 | $398 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 429 | $325 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 275 | $257 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 221 | $244 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $195 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $190 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $168 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $159 | 3.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $118 | 4.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $113 | 5.5% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $111 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $108 | 7.0% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $94.82 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $93.52 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $68.79 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $64.98 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $63.28 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $61.02 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $58.91 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $58.39 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $57.62 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $55.69 | 3.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $52.62 | 3.5% | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $52.30 | 3.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $51.98 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $50.59 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $49.43 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/bowie/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=bowie)

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [Фарид Сафаров](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A4%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%B4%20%D0%A1%D0%B0%D1%84%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B2) $82.99 $113 1.36x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $82.99 $52.62 0.63x 2026-11-09 11:03 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-field-tested) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $82.99 $52.30 0.63x 2026-11-09 11:02 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $82.99 $159 1.91x 2026-11-09 11:02 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $82.99 $108 1.30x 2026-11-09 09:26 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $82.99 $118 1.42x 2026-11-08 21:27 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $82.99 $55.69 0.67x 2026-11-08 21:27 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) [FullFaza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/FullFaza) $82.99 $52.62 0.63x 2026-11-08 19:31 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $82.99 $113 1.36x 2026-11-08 04:31 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $82.99 $52.62 0.63x 2026-11-06 19:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $82.99 | 94.89% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $82.99 | 94.00% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 50.5% #EB4B4B 0.4% #ffd700 0.5% sunny 1.1% Immortal 11.0% covert knife 20.9% gold 15.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.89 on average: an expected loss of $5.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt