---
title: "Classic c case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Classic c ($104.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.06% from 28 items with odds, observed 108.50% over 7 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/classic-c
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Classic c](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/classic-c)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Classic c

A case on CSGORUN (knives2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/classic-c?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/classic-c?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/classic-c) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/classic-c?window=all)

Price · $104.99

Advertised RTP · 93.06% · EV $97.70 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 108.50% · 7 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 39.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 7 openings · below min

30 days · 7 openings · below min

since tracking started · 7 openings · below min

78.0% 108.5% 139.0%

**Small sample.** 7 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/classic-c?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/classic-c?window=7d) | 7 | 108.50% ±29.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/classic-c) | 7 | 108.50% ±29.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/classic-c?window=all) | 7 | 108.50% ±29.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 17,241 | $1,161 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 592 | $408 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 337 | $334 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 359 | $334 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 192 | $271 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 116 | $216 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 82 | $201 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $201 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $183 | 2.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $172 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $147 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $138 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $136 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $116 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $110 | 5.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $105 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $103 | 5.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $91.23 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $91.21 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $89.92 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $79.25 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $78.48 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $78.13 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $76.05 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $73.08 | 4.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $63.19 | 3.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $63.15 | 3.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $62.73 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/classic_c/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=classic-c)

[★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Agent Beob](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Agent%20Beob) $105 $201 1.92x 2026-11-09 11:39 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $105 $103 0.98x 2026-11-09 09:26 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $105 $63.15 0.60x 2026-11-07 11:01 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $105 $110 1.05x 2026-11-07 11:01 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $105 $63.19 0.60x 2026-11-07 11:01 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $105 $73.08 0.70x 2026-11-07 11:01 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $105 $183 1.75x 2026-11-07 11:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $105 | 93.06% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $105 | 94.00% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 36.8% knifes 0.2% Immortal 1.2% Covert 1.3% covert knife 54.5% gold 6.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.06 on average: an expected loss of $6.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt