--- title: "Clutch c case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Clutch c ($2.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.47% from 36 items with odds, observed 91.99% over 387 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/clutch-c rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Clutch c](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/clutch-c) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Clutch c A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/clutch-c?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/clutch-c?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/clutch-c) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/clutch-c?window=all) Price · $2.49 Advertised RTP · 92.47% · EV $2.30 from 36 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.99% · 387 openings, sample method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 57.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 387 openings · below min 30 days · 387 openings · below min since tracking started · 387 openings · below min -0.5% 115.8% 232.0% **Small sample.** 387 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/clutch-c?window=24h) | 4 | 108.53% ±122.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/clutch-c?window=7d) | 387 | 91.99% ±11.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/clutch-c) | 387 | 91.99% ±11.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/clutch-c?window=all) | 387 | 91.99% ±11.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 387 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200,000 | $361 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) | 1 in 111,111 | $231 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-factory-new) | 1 in 66,667 | $174 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $113 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15,385 | $81.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Minimal Wear) gloves · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,299 | $62.27 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,686 | $34.99 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 1,277 | $32.73 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 1,401 | $32.03 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $29.47 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-field-tested) | 1 in 1,302 | $29.26 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 1,176 | $27.43 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $9.78 | 4.3% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.51× | | [AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $7.18 | 5.5% | 8 | 6.9 | 1.17× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $6.70 | 5.2% | 5 | 6.9 | 0.72× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $4.78 | 6.2% | 11 | 11.6 | 0.95× | | [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $4.38 | 7.8% | 16 | 15.8 | 1.01× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $3.65 | 7.4% | 16 | 18.0 | 0.89× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $3.37 | 8.0% | 26 | 21.1 | 1.23× | | [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $3.25 | 8.4% | 21 | 23.1 | 0.91× | | [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $3.21 | 8.5% | 19 | 23.6 | 0.80× | | [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $2.70 | 9.7% | 36 | 31.9 | 1.13× | | [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $1.84 | 3.3% | 17 | 15.9 | 1.07× | | [Nova \| Wild Six (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $1.63 | 2.9% | 17 | 15.9 | 1.07× | | [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $1.37 | 2.4% | 14 | 15.9 | 0.88× | | [Negev \| Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $1.24 | 2.2% | 28 | 15.9 | 1.76× | | [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.97 | 1.7% | 20 | 15.9 | 1.26× | | [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.89 | 1.6% | 13 | 15.9 | 0.82× | | [MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.82 | 1.5% | 16 | 15.9 | 1.01× | | [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.70 | 1.2% | 11 | 15.9 | 0.69× | | [Nova \| Wild Six (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.60 | 1.1% | 20 | 15.9 | 1.26× | | [Negev \| Lionfish (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.60 | 1.1% | 12 | 15.9 | 0.76× | | [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.48 | 0.9% | 16 | 15.9 | 1.01× | | [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.45 | 0.8% | 12 | 15.9 | 0.76× | | [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.37 | 0.7% | 14 | 15.9 | 0.88× | | [Nova \| Wild Six (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.36 | 0.6% | 15 | 15.9 | 0.94× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/clutch_c/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=clutch-c) [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [QQHA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/QQHA) $2.49 $4.78 1.92x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) [Miks34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Miks34) $2.49 $1.84 0.74x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) [Prostit\_2t](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Prostit_2t) $2.49 $3.37 1.35x 2026-11-10 16:27 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) [Prostit\_2t](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Prostit_2t) $2.49 $0.82 0.33x 2026-11-10 16:27 UTC [Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-minimal-wear) [ForestGam](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ForestGam) $2.49 $0.60 0.24x 2026-11-09 20:20 UTC [Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) [Bosher](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Bosher) $2.49 $1.24 0.50x 2026-11-09 20:06 UTC [UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) [Bosher](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Bosher) $2.49 $1.84 0.74x 2026-11-09 20:06 UTC [Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $2.49 $0.36 0.14x 2026-11-09 19:08 UTC [PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-factory-new) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $2.49 $0.37 0.15x 2026-11-09 19:08 UTC [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $2.49 $0.45 0.18x 2026-11-09 19:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $2.49 | 92.47% | 36 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $2.49 | 94.00% | 36 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.2% Extraordinary 0.0% #ffd700 0.0% Ancient 0.1% covert 0.1% classified 13.7% Legendary 10.0% #d32ee6 4.1% Mythical 14.3% restricted 28.8% Rare 8.2% #8847ff 12.3% milspec 4.1% mil spec 4.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.47 on average: an expected loss of $7.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt