---
title: "Comatozze case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Comatozze ($0.17) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.47% from 49 items with odds, observed 95.69% over 7,905 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/comatozze
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Comatozze](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/comatozze)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Comatozze

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/comatozze?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/comatozze?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/comatozze) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/comatozze?window=all)

Price · $0.17

Advertised RTP · 92.47% · EV $0.16 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.69% · 7,905 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 58.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 77.98% ±33.04 168 openings

7 days · 92.78% ±6.36 4,648 openings

30 days · 95.69% ±5.01 7,905 openings

since tracking started · 95.69% ±5.01 7,905 openings

44.5% 78.0% 111.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/comatozze?window=24h) | 168 | 77.98% ±33.0 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/comatozze?window=7d) | 4,648 | 92.78% ±6.36 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/comatozze) | 7,905 | 95.69% ±5.01 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/comatozze?window=all) | 7,905 | 95.69% ±5.01 | +0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,906 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $222 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $193 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $67.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $50.59 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $42.88 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 500,000 | $24.67 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-field-tested) | 1 in 333,333 | $19.56 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250,000 | $18.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250,000 | $17.79 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 142,857 | $11.79 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Autumn Twilly (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-well-worn) | 1 in 38,462 | $6.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58,824 | $6.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25,641 | $5.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22,222 | $4.78 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) | 1 in 9,709 | $3.66 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 8,621 | $3.54 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,132 | $2.62 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,695 | $2.40 | 0.6% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.70× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 2,571 | $2.27 | 0.6% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.30× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,725 | $2.17 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-well-worn) | 1 in 2,793 | $2.10 | 0.5% | 7 | 2.8 | 2.47× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 681 | $1.32 | 1.2% | 16 | 11.6 | 1.38× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-field-tested) | 1 in 737 | $1.18 | 1.0% | 15 | 10.7 | 1.40× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 429 | $1.13 | 1.7% | 21 | 18.4 | 1.14× |
| [Sticker \| NQZ \| Shanghai 2024 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nqz-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 138 | $0.69 | 3.2% | 62 | 57.5 | 1.08× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-field-tested) | 1 in 127 | $0.60 | 3.0% | 68 | 62.1 | 1.10× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $0.55 | 3.2% | 77 | 73.2 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $0.51 | 3.4% | 87 | 82.6 | 1.05× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $0.51 | 3.0% | 65 | 73.2 | 0.89× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $0.41 | 3.9% | 124 | 117.2 | 1.06× |
| [MP5-SD \| Kitbash (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-kitbash-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.37 | 4.5% | 142 | 150.9 | 0.94× |
| [M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $0.37 | 3.8% | 141 | 126.9 | 1.11× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $0.32 | 4.7% | 190 | 183.3 | 1.04× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $0.23 | 5.9% | 299 | 317.3 | 0.94× |
| [P2000 \| Royal Baroque (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.20 | 7.7% | 500 | 479.4 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $0.19 | 7.4% | 456 | 482.3 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Green Line (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-green-line-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $0.18 | 6.9% | 499 | 479.3 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ocean Topo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.17 | 7.1% | 531 | 521.5 | 1.02× |
| [MAG-7 \| Resupply (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.14 | 5.9% | 481 | 521.5 | 0.92× |
| [AUG \| Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $0.10 | 3.9% | 491 | 482.3 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) | 1 in 17 | $0.09 | 3.4% | 506 | 472.6 | 1.07× |
| [M4A4 \| Choppa (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $0.09 | 3.5% | 491 | 482.3 | 1.02× |
| [M4A4 \| Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-naval-shred-camo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.06 | 2.1% | 428 | 437.0 | 0.98× |
| [MP9 \| Buff Blue (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $0.06 | 2.3% | 478 | 472.6 | 1.01× |
| [XM1014 \| Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-gum-wall-camo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.04 | 1.3% | 410 | 404.1 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| zont1x \| Shanghai 2024 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zont1x-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 22 | $0.03 | 0.9% | 330 | 353.5 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| Passion UA \| Shanghai 2024 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-passion-ua-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 22 | $0.02 | 0.6% | 364 | 353.5 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Perfect World \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-perfect-world-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 26 | $0.01 | 0.2% | 275 | 309.1 | 0.89× |
| [Sticker \| Grayhound Gaming \| Paris 2023 sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grayhound-gaming-paris-2023) | 1 in 22 | $0.01 | 0.3% | 339 | 353.5 | 0.96× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/comatozze/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=comatozze)

[Sticker | Grayhound Gaming | Paris 2023 sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grayhound-gaming-paris-2023) [Try\_kvakyn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Try_kvakyn) $0.17 $0.01 0.06x 2026-11-11 15:48 UTC

[M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-naval-shred-camo-minimal-wear) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.17 $0.06 0.35x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-minimal-wear) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.17 $0.10 0.59x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Sticker | Grayhound Gaming | Paris 2023 sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-grayhound-gaming-paris-2023) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.17 $0.01 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Sticker | Passion UA | Shanghai 2024 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-passion-ua-shanghai-2024) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.17 $0.02 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-gum-wall-camo-minimal-wear) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.17 $0.04 0.24x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-well-worn) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.17 $0.19 1.12x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-minimal-wear) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.17 $0.14 0.82x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-minimal-wear) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.17 $0.10 0.59x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[M4A4 | Choppa (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-well-worn) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.17 $0.09 0.53x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.17 | 92.47% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.16 | 98.25% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.16 | 93.29% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 2.3% 7 4.5% covert 0.0% Immortal 0.0% covert knife 0.0% gold 0.0% classified 0.0% industrial 0.0% restricted 0.2% uncommon 0.0% #8847ff 0.0% pink 0.0% Legendary 0.0% Classified 0.0% Restricted 0.9% violet 4.7% Mythical 0.9% other 9.7% #4b69ff 17.1% blue 20.2% blueLight 6.1% Uncommon 12.1% #5e98d9 11.2% Common 6.0% Rare 3.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.47 on average: an expected loss of $7.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt