--- title: "Crazytime case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Crazytime ($17.05) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.95% from 42 items with odds, observed 101.98% over 38 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crazytime rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Crazytime](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crazytime) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Crazytime A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crazytime?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crazytime?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crazytime) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crazytime?window=all) Price · $17.05 Advertised RTP · 93.95% · EV $16.02 from 42 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.98% · 38 openings, odds method Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 29 openings · below min 30 days · 38 openings · below min since tracking started · 38 openings · below min 52.0% 106.7% 161.5% **Small sample.** 38 openings and 6.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crazytime?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crazytime?window=7d) | 29 | 106.69% ±54.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crazytime) | 38 | 101.98% ±47.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crazytime?window=all) | 38 | 101.98% ±47.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $7,841 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $5,395 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $3,597 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500,000 | $3,156 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) | 1 in 142,857 | $1,556 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $1,401 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $1,382 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $1,378 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $1,378 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 90,909 | $1,175 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,163 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 76,923 | $1,066 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit) | 1 in 76,923 | $1,045 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 76,923 | $1,031 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-well-worn) | 1 in 45,455 | $798 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 32,258 | $662 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14,286 | $618 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $442 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 2,404 | $264 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 875 | $189 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Wave Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-wave-chaser-well-worn) | 1 in 663 | $162 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 239 | $99.58 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Plum Quill (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 182 | $95.47 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-factory-new) | 1 in 142 | $85.13 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $55.22 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 53 | $49.17 | 5.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $35.58 | 7.4% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.58× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $33.81 | 7.2% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.08× | | [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $25.10 | 9.0% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× | | [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $21.83 | 8.5% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.68× | | [AWP \| The End (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-minimal-wear) | 10.3% | $16.73 | 10.8% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.76× | | [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $12.36 | 6.8% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.19× | | [Nova \| Bloomstick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $11.62 | 5.9% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× | | [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $10.81 | 5.5% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× | | [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $6.92 | 2.9% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.39× | | [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $6.88 | 2.9% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× | | [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $5.15 | 1.8% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [XM1014 \| XOXO (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $5.06 | 1.8% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× | | [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $3.91 | 1.2% | 6 | 1.9 | 3.23× | | [USP-S \| Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $3.39 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zubastick (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zubastick-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $2.04 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× | | [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $0.87 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/crazytime/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=crazytime) [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $17.05 $33.81 1.98x 2026-11-09 20:57 UTC [Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $17.05 $12.36 0.72x 2026-11-09 20:56 UTC [AWP | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $17.38 $3.91 0.22x 2026-11-05 06:00 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-battle-scarred) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $17.38 $95.47 5.49x 2026-11-05 05:59 UTC [AWP | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) [tuff00320](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/tuff00320) $17.38 $3.91 0.22x 2026-11-04 22:22 UTC [AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) [Shrekker2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Shrekker2) $17.38 $35.58 2.05x 2026-11-04 21:55 UTC [AWP | The End (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-minimal-wear) [+888](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%2B888) $17.38 $16.73 0.96x 2026-11-04 19:17 UTC [Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) [+888](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%2B888) $17.38 $12.36 0.71x 2026-11-04 19:17 UTC [Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-factory-new) [+888](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%2B888) $17.38 $21.83 1.26x 2026-11-04 19:17 UTC [Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $17.38 $6.92 0.40x 2026-11-04 17:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $17.05 | 93.95% | 42 | | 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $17.38 | 92.16% | 42 | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $17.38 | 94.57% | 42 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.3% classified 31.3% contraband 0.0% restricted 3.3% #ffd700 0.0% sunny 0.0% covert knife 0.0% legendary 0.0% gold 0.2% rare 6.8% red 18.1% pink 15.2% #d32ee6 6.7% uncommon 5.5% #8847ff 4.7% Rare 3.5% milspec 2.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.95 on average: an expected loss of $6.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt