---
title: "Crypt case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Crypt ($15.00) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 101.16% from 42 items with odds, observed 103.48% over 763 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crypt
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Crypt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crypt)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Crypt

A case on CSGORUN (halloween2026), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crypt?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crypt?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crypt) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crypt?window=all)

Price · $15.00

Advertised RTP · 101.16% · EV $15.17 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 103.48% · 763 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 102.72% ±10.74 349 openings

30 days · 103.48% ±7.24 763 openings

since tracking started · 103.48% ±7.24 763 openings

91.5% 102.7% 114.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crypt?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crypt?window=7d) | 349 | 102.72% ±10.7 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crypt) | 763 | 103.48% ±7.24 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/crypt?window=all) | 763 | 103.48% ±7.24 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 763 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 166,667 | $1,231 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 66,667 | $635 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 31,250 | $505 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15,152 | $372 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,135 | $248 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 2,591 | $183 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 966 | $121 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 577 | $106 | 1.2% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.27× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 358 | $87.20 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 216 | $72.60 | 2.2% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.42× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 151 | $60.32 | 2.6% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.99× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-factory-new) | 1 in 121 | $50.89 | 2.8% | 10 | 6.3 | 1.58× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $39.87 | 3.2% | 9 | 9.3 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $36.49 | 3.4% | 10 | 10.7 | 0.94× |
| [XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $33.70 | 3.7% | 16 | 12.7 | 1.26× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $33.48 | 10.0% | 33 | 34.7 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $32.11 | 4.5% | 17 | 16.4 | 1.04× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $27.05 | 10.7% | 49 | 46.0 | 1.07× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $25.81 | 3.6% | 17 | 16.1 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $22.79 | 4.5% | 25 | 22.7 | 1.10× |
| [MAC-10 \| Graven (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-graven-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $19.34 | 5.7% | 30 | 34.0 | 0.88× |
| [AUG \| Sand Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $18.79 | 4.4% | 25 | 27.4 | 0.91× |
| [P250 \| Splash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $17.64 | 4.6% | 23 | 30.0 | 0.77× |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $13.33 | 4.9% | 41 | 42.8 | 0.96× |
| [Nova \| Quick Sand (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-quick-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $11.43 | 3.8% | 52 | 38.3 | 1.36× |
| [XM1014 \| Bone Machine (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-bone-machine-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $11.02 | 3.7% | 41 | 39.4 | 1.04× |
| [P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $9.41 | 3.1% | 30 | 38.6 | 0.78× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $8.37 | 2.5% | 29 | 34.8 | 0.83× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $7.44 | 2.0% | 25 | 31.8 | 0.79× |
| [Nova \| Rising Skull (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $6.61 | 1.7% | 22 | 30.1 | 0.73× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $6.39 | 1.6% | 32 | 29.0 | 1.10× |
| [Galil AR \| Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $6.29 | 1.5% | 30 | 27.5 | 1.09× |
| [SSG 08 \| Red Stone (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $4.83 | 1.0% | 24 | 24.9 | 0.97× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $4.69 | 1.0% | 26 | 24.7 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $4.19 | 0.8% | 20 | 22.2 | 0.90× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $2.74 | 0.5% | 15 | 19.5 | 0.77× |
| [UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $2.53 | 0.4% | 17 | 17.5 | 0.97× |
| [MP5-SD \| Acid Wash (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-acid-wash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $1.89 | 0.3% | 13 | 15.5 | 0.84× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $1.25 | 0.1% | 23 | 11.7 | 1.97× |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $1.22 | 0.1% | 14 | 11.2 | 1.25× |
| [XM1014 \| Blue Tire (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-tire-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $0.90 | 0.1% | 15 | 14.3 | 1.05× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $0.83 | 0.1% | 14 | 9.7 | 1.44× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/crypt/show`, 8 Nov, 19:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=crypt)

[XM1014 | Bone Machine (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-bone-machine-field-tested) [AI3DULA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/AI3DULA) $15.00 $11.02 0.73x 2026-11-08 20:58 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [AI3DULA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/AI3DULA) $15.00 $72.60 4.84x 2026-11-08 20:58 UTC

[USP-S | Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $15.00 $27.05 1.80x 2026-11-08 20:04 UTC

[Galil AR | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-factory-new) [:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%3A%29) $15.00 $13.33 0.89x 2026-11-08 19:58 UTC

[P90 | ScaraB Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush-minimal-wear) [:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%3A%29) $15.00 $9.41 0.63x 2026-11-08 19:58 UTC

[Galil AR | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-factory-new) [:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%3A%29) $15.00 $13.33 0.89x 2026-11-08 19:58 UTC

[FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) [:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%3A%29) $15.00 $25.81 1.72x 2026-11-08 19:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-field-tested) [maw666](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/maw666) $15.00 $8.37 0.56x 2026-11-08 14:41 UTC

[FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) [kickflip андеграунд](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kickflip%20%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%83%D0%BD%D0%B4) $15.00 $25.81 1.72x 2026-11-08 11:54 UTC

[M4A1-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) [kickflip андеграунд](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kickflip%20%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%83%D0%BD%D0%B4) $15.00 $7.44 0.50x 2026-11-08 10:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $15.00 | 101.16% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $15.00 | 101.48% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 11.4% #eb4b4b 0.0% sunny 0.0% restricted 13.0% covert 0.5% #ffd700 0.1% gold 0.2% Legendary 0.8% pink 1.2% Ancient 1.4% Restricted 1.7% #8847ff 8.5% industrial 6.0% Mythical 11.8% violet 8.0% mil spec 12.8% Mil Spec Grade 8.6% Uncommon 4.6% common 3.3% blue 2.9% gray 1.9% #4b69ff 1.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 101.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $101.16 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt