---
title: "Ct 0m case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Ct 0m ($3.79) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.46% from 42 items with odds, observed 87.50% over 1,400 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ct0m
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Ct 0m](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ct0m)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Ct 0m

A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ct0m?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ct0m?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ct0m) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ct0m?window=all)

Price · $3.79

Advertised RTP · 90.46% · EV $3.43 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.50% · 1,400 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 99.08% ±13.33 210 openings

7 days · 89.00% ±5.81 1,105 openings

30 days · 87.50% ±5.16 1,400 openings

since tracking started · 87.50% ±5.16 1,400 openings

81.5% 97.2% 113.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ct0m?window=24h) | 210 | 99.08% ±13.3 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ct0m?window=7d) | 1,105 | 89.00% ±5.81 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ct0m) | 1,400 | 87.50% ±5.16 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ct0m?window=all) | 1,400 | 87.50% ±5.16 | −1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,400 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250,000 | $213 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $155 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52,632 | $113 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21,277 | $83.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,259 | $64.00 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,762 | $49.97 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 2,545 | $42.88 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 956 | $29.06 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 452 | $23.75 | 1.5% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 247 | $19.16 | 2.3% | 2 | 5.7 | 0.35× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 195 | $16.27 | 2.4% | 9 | 7.2 | 1.25× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 142 | $14.02 | 2.9% | 6 | 9.9 | 0.61× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 126 | $12.64 | 2.9% | 10 | 11.1 | 0.90× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 114 | $12.56 | 3.2% | 10 | 12.3 | 0.82× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $10.98 | 3.4% | 15 | 14.8 | 1.01× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $10.48 | 3.5% | 13 | 16.2 | 0.80× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $10.36 | 3.2% | 9 | 15.0 | 0.60× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $10.28 | 3.9% | 15 | 18.3 | 0.82× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $7.44 | 4.0% | 31 | 25.8 | 1.20× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $6.44 | 5.8% | 68 | 43.4 | 1.57× |
| [Nova \| Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $6.29 | 4.8% | 41 | 36.7 | 1.12× |
| [SSG 08 \| Red Stone (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $4.83 | 6.6% | 75 | 65.1 | 1.15× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $4.70 | 6.6% | 76 | 67.5 | 1.13× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $3.65 | 8.9% | 112 | 116.6 | 0.96× |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $3.22 | 3.5% | 43 | 51.6 | 0.83× |
| [XM1014 \| Red Python (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-python-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $3.04 | 3.3% | 41 | 51.6 | 0.79× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $3.02 | 3.2% | 50 | 51.6 | 0.97× |
| [P90 \| Virus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $2.91 | 3.1% | 53 | 51.6 | 1.03× |
| [SG 553 \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $2.32 | 2.5% | 58 | 51.6 | 1.12× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $2.25 | 2.4% | 51 | 51.6 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Red Tire (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-red-tire-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $2.02 | 2.2% | 50 | 51.6 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $1.92 | 2.1% | 54 | 51.6 | 1.05× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $1.52 | 1.6% | 44 | 51.6 | 0.85× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $1.33 | 1.4% | 58 | 51.6 | 1.12× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $1.07 | 1.2% | 43 | 51.6 | 0.83× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.90 | 1.0% | 42 | 51.6 | 0.81× |
| [P2000 \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.87 | 0.9% | 58 | 51.6 | 1.12× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $0.78 | 0.8% | 45 | 51.6 | 0.87× |
| [UMP-45 \| Warm Blooded (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-warm-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $0.77 | 0.8% | 60 | 51.6 | 1.16× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $0.77 | 0.8% | 49 | 51.6 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $0.48 | 0.5% | 59 | 51.6 | 1.14× |
| [P90 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.47 | 0.5% | 48 | 51.6 | 0.93× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/ct0m/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=ct0m)

[AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-minimal-wear) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $3.79 $6.44 1.70x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-minimal-wear) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $3.79 $10.36 2.73x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC

[P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $3.79 $3.22 0.85x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC

[UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-minimal-wear) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $3.79 $2.25 0.59x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC

[Nova | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-minimal-wear) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $3.79 $6.29 1.66x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC

[MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $3.79 $1.07 0.28x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $3.79 $3.65 0.96x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC

[Nova | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $3.79 $10.48 2.77x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC

[P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $3.79 $12.64 3.34x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC

[P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-minimal-wear) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $3.79 $0.47 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $3.79 | 90.46% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.79 | 90.47% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% Immortal 0.0% classified 12.7% industrial 0.0% restricted 18.8% blue 4.2% pink 1.1% Mythical 3.1% Restricted 2.6% common 4.6% mil spec 19.6% Rare 18.4% #8847ff 3.7% uncommon 3.7% Uncommon 3.7% #4b69ff 3.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.46 on average: an expected loss of $9.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt