---
title: "Cz 75 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Cz 75 ($1.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.57% from 36 items with odds, observed 105.86% over 33 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/cz75
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Cz 75](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/cz75)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Cz 75

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/cz75?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/cz75?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/cz75) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/cz75?window=all)

Price · $1.49

Advertised RTP · 91.57% · EV $1.36 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 105.86% · 33 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 57.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 18 openings · below min

7 days · 33 openings · below min

30 days · 33 openings · below min

since tracking started · 33 openings · below min

67.5% 124.3% 181.0%

**Small sample.** 33 openings and 8.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/cz75?window=24h) | 18 | 129.31% ±50.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/cz75?window=7d) | 33 | 105.86% ±37.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/cz75) | 33 | 105.86% ±37.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/cz75?window=all) | 33 | 105.86% ±37.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 53 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Chalice (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $414 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-victoria-factory-new) | 1 in 111,111 | $107 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 83,333 | $103 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-victoria-field-tested) | 1 in 62,500 | $87.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26,316 | $70.91 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) | 1 in 6,329 | $31.18 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 4,902 | $26.67 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 1 in 2,874 | $21.54 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Indigo (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-indigo-factory-new) | 1 in 558 | $12.56 | 1.6% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 772 | $12.37 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-minimal-wear) | 1 in 248 | $8.33 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $6.37 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 82 | $4.28 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-factory-new) | 1 in 49 | $3.60 | 5.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-army-sheen-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $3.22 | 5.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Framework (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $2.77 | 6.5% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.17× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $2.23 | 6.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.93× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $2.00 | 8.3% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $1.83 | 8.7% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.17× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $1.68 | 9.1% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.53× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $1.59 | 9.5% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.46× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $1.32 | 3.7% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.45× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $1.18 | 3.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.98× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-jungle-dashed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.95 | 2.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.89 | 2.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.78 | 2.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-midnight-palm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.66 | 1.9% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.47× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.58 | 1.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.51 | 1.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.98× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Framework (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.47 | 1.3% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.96× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.41 | 1.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Framework (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.35 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.98× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.32 | 0.9% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.47× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.28 | 0.8% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.96× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.26 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Copper Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-copper-fiber-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.20 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/cz75/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=cz75)

[CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) [Kidomarumchs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kidomarumchs) $1.49 $1.83 1.23x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) [Kidomarumchs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kidomarumchs) $1.49 $1.83 1.23x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) [Kidomarumchs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kidomarumchs) $1.49 $1.83 1.23x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-minimal-wear) [Kidomarumchs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kidomarumchs) $1.49 $2.00 1.34x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-factory-new) [Kidomarumchs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kidomarumchs) $1.49 $0.89 0.60x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-field-tested) [Kidomarumchs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kidomarumchs) $1.49 $0.32 0.21x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-factory-new) [Kidomarumchs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kidomarumchs) $1.49 $2.23 1.50x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Framework (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-minimal-wear) [Kidomarumchs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kidomarumchs) $1.49 $0.47 0.32x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) [Kidomarumchs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kidomarumchs) $1.49 $1.59 1.07x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-minimal-wear) [Kidomarumchs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kidomarumchs) $1.49 $1.18 0.79x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $1.49 | 91.57% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.49 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 12.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% mil spec 18.3% covert 0.0% classified 0.5% consumer 0.2% Rare 5.1% Consumer Grade 9.4% #87c7ff 5.7% light blue 6.5% gray 3.9% milspec 3.9% #4b69ff 19.3% Uncommon 3.9% Common 3.9% blue 3.9% industrial 3.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.57 on average: an expected loss of $8.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt