---
title: "Daily 2 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Daily 2 ($0.21) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 67.32% from 28 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Daily 2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily2)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Daily 2

A case on CSGORUN (daily), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily2?window=all)

Price · $0.21

Advertised RTP · 67.32% · EV $0.14 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily2?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily2?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily2) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily2?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $83.93 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-field-tested) | 1 in 500,000 | $46.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 142,857 | $35.49 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-well-worn) | 1 in 50,000 | $26.09 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 111,111 | $23.71 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83,333 | $18.29 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 18,868 | $16.80 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 34,483 | $14.95 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 41,667 | $11.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 13,889 | $9.89 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Capillary (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 16,129 | $9.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 4,785 | $5.23 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,106 | $4.36 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 2,564 | $2.98 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,195 | $2.77 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,127 | $2.09 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-well-worn) | 1 in 2,160 | $1.52 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-yeti-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $1.37 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 777 | $1.13 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-rapid-transit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 121 | $0.93 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Randy Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-randy-rush-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $0.49 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Wild Six (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $0.41 | 16.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.38 | 23.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $0.30 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-well-worn) | 11.8% | $0.17 | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-battle-scarred) | 11.4% | $0.09 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Buff Blue (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-factory-new) | 17.4% | $0.06 | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-factory-new) | 39.3% | $0.02 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/daily2/show`, 6 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=daily2)

[Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-factory-new) [Гокот Разыол](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%93%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BE%D1%82%20%D0%A0%D0%B0%D0%B7%D1%8B%D0%BE%D0%BB) $0.21 $0.02 0.10x 2026-11-06 11:31 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-factory-new) [:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%3A%29) $0.21 $0.06 0.29x 2026-11-06 11:31 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-factory-new) [trif0n0v](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/trif0n0v) $0.21 $0.02 0.10x 2026-11-06 11:30 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-factory-new) [asd](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/asd) $0.21 $0.02 0.10x 2026-11-06 11:30 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-factory-new) [Подрочил на мячик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%BE%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%87%D0%B8%D0%BB%20%D0%BD%D0%B0%20%D0%BC%D1%8F%D1%87%D0%B8%D0%BA) $0.21 $0.02 0.10x 2026-11-06 11:29 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) [GIUSEPPE ZANOTTI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/GIUSEPPE%20ZANOTTI) $0.21 $0.38 1.81x 2026-11-06 11:29 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-factory-new) [Crazy Kuvi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Crazy%20Kuvi) $0.21 $0.02 0.10x 2026-11-06 11:28 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-factory-new) [8 de mayo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/8%20de%20mayo) $0.21 $0.02 0.10x 2026-11-06 11:28 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-factory-new) [asd](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/asd) $0.21 $0.02 0.10x 2026-11-06 11:27 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-factory-new) [ASMR EAR LICKING](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ASMR%20EAR%20LICKING) $0.21 $0.02 0.10x 2026-11-06 11:26 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.21 | 67.32% | 28 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.21 | 66.79% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% red 0.0% classified 0.0% restricted 1.4% #d32ee6 0.0% pink 0.1% mil spec 0.0% violet 0.1% Restricted 0.1% #4b69ff 8.9% Mythical 0.8% #8847ff 5.8% blue 2.8% blueLight 11.8% Uncommon 11.4% Common 17.4% #b0c3d9 39.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.32 on average: an expected loss of $32.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt