---
title: "Daily 5 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Daily 5 ($4.14) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 58.24% from 28 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily5
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Daily 5](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily5)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Daily 5

A case on CSGORUN (daily), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily5?window=all)

Price · $4.14

Advertised RTP · 58.24% · EV $2.41 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 28.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily5?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily5?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily5) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily5?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $895 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $727 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $551 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $451 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $440 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $380 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $317 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $268 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $201 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $189 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500,000 | $164 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 500,000 | $154 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500,000 | $133 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $90.55 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500,000 | $77.89 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500,000 | $63.61 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-well-worn) | 1 in 125,000 | $50.22 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-well-worn) | 1 in 10,526 | $43.39 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-field-tested) | 1 in 500,000 | $39.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,059 | $24.62 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 28.1% | $5.09 | 59.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 91 | $4.04 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $3.66 | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $3.02 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Highwayman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $1.47 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-minimal-wear) | 13.4% | $1.27 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-cobalt-paisley-minimal-wear) | 15.4% | $0.44 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) | 17.3% | $0.09 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/daily5/show`, 6 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=daily5)

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) [borov\_the\_F](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/borov_the_F) $4.14 $0.09 0.02x 2026-11-06 12:29 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-well-worn) [asd](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/asd) $4.14 $1.47 0.36x 2026-11-06 11:30 UTC

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) [Volkodav](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Volkodav) $4.14 $0.09 0.02x 2026-11-06 11:24 UTC

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) [Dima1215](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Dima1215) $4.14 $0.09 0.02x 2026-11-06 11:23 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-well-worn) [Adams](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Adams) $4.14 $1.47 0.36x 2026-11-06 11:11 UTC

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) [kkp sila мертв внутри](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kkp%20sila%20%D0%BC%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%82%D0%B2%20%D0%B2%D0%BD%D1%83%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B8) $4.14 $0.09 0.02x 2026-11-06 11:11 UTC

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) [Luminorpank](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Luminorpank) $4.14 $0.09 0.02x 2026-11-06 11:06 UTC

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) [ради неё](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%91) $4.14 $0.09 0.02x 2026-11-06 11:06 UTC

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) [Spar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Spar) $4.14 $0.09 0.02x 2026-11-06 11:05 UTC

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) [STNA6](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/STNA6) $4.14 $0.09 0.02x 2026-11-06 11:05 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.14 | 58.24% | 28 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.14 | 61.13% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% epic 0.0% rare 5.5% red 0.0% restricted 10.1% pink 28.1% mil spec 1.1% Classified 9.1% violet 13.4% blue 15.4% #b0c3d9 17.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 58.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $58.24 on average: an expected loss of $41.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt