---
title: "Daily 6 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Daily 6 ($7.75) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 74.29% from 28 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily6
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Daily 6](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily6)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Daily 6

A case on CSGORUN (daily), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily6?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily6?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily6) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily6?window=all)

Price · $7.75

Advertised RTP · 74.29% · EV $5.76 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 32.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily6?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily6?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily6) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily6?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200,000 | $1,394 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200,000 | $1,246 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife) | 1 in 200,000 | $1,214 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $1,145 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) | 1 in 200,000 | $1,099 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $911 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200,000 | $893 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200,000 | $696 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 200,000 | $589 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 200,000 | $569 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $461 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,000 | $394 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200,000 | $361 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 200,000 | $330 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $237 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-well-worn) | 1 in 7,353 | $142 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $125 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 244 | $73.38 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 284 | $63.53 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 474 | $63.00 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $38.73 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $31.26 | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $15.49 | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $11.07 | 48.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) | 14.0% | $2.40 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) | 21.0% | $0.79 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-field-tested) | 32.3% | $0.44 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Mainframe (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200,000 | $0.07 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/daily6/show`, 6 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=daily6)

[Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) [kkp sila мертв внутри](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kkp%20sila%20%D0%BC%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%82%D0%B2%20%D0%B2%D0%BD%D1%83%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B8) $7.75 $0.79 0.10x 2026-11-06 11:11 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) [Spar](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Spar) $7.75 $0.79 0.10x 2026-11-06 11:05 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) [Дима Щукин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%94%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%20%D0%A9%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%BD) $7.75 $0.79 0.10x 2026-11-06 10:53 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) [6yxou-NeGaT1Ve-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/6yxou-NeGaT1Ve-) $7.75 $0.79 0.10x 2026-11-06 10:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-field-tested) [miniman](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/miniman) $7.75 $0.44 0.06x 2026-11-06 10:33 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) [Solek♡](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Solek%E2%99%A1) $7.75 $0.79 0.10x 2026-11-06 10:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) [no name](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/no%20name) $7.75 $2.40 0.31x 2026-11-06 10:28 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) [BlackCasper1990](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BlackCasper1990) $7.75 $0.79 0.10x 2026-11-06 10:16 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-field-tested) [илья дегровин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B8%D0%BB%D1%8C%D1%8F%20%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $7.75 $0.44 0.06x 2026-11-06 09:53 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-field-tested) [deko](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/deko) $7.75 $0.44 0.06x 2026-11-06 09:44 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $7.75 | 74.29% | 28 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.75 | 76.65% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 1.4% legendary 0.0% classified 2.0% sunny 0.0% gold 0.4% #ffd700 0.0% Ancient 0.2% violet 36.0% Mythical 25.0% #8847ff 35.0% #87c7ff 0.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.29 on average: an expected loss of $25.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt