---
title: "Daily 7 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Daily 7 ($9.47) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 63.49% from 28 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily7
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Daily 7](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily7)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Daily 7

A case on CSGORUN (daily), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily7?window=all)

Price · $9.47

Advertised RTP · 63.49% · EV $6.01 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily7?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily7?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily7) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily7?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $3,252 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $2,122 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $1,955 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $1,120 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $911 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $668 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $420 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $340 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $315 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $292 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $207 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $160 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $155 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $153 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 320 | $52.30 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) | 1 in 9,901 | $30.27 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-factory-new) | 1 in 3,030 | $26.66 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $21.76 | 24.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $19.55 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $17.50 | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 49 | $16.25 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $15.78 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $9.48 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $9.40 | 14.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-factory-new) | 14.1% | $4.69 | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 15.7% | $2.61 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) | 18.4% | $1.10 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 21.9% | $0.78 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/daily7/show`, 6 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=daily7)

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) [kkp sila мертв внутри](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kkp%20sila%20%D0%BC%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%82%D0%B2%20%D0%B2%D0%BD%D1%83%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B8) $9.47 $0.78 0.08x 2026-11-06 11:11 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) [miniman](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/miniman) $9.47 $0.78 0.08x 2026-11-06 10:32 UTC

[USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) [BlackCasper1990](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BlackCasper1990) $9.47 $2.61 0.28x 2026-11-06 10:16 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) [sMOGrc](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/sMOGrc) $9.47 $1.10 0.12x 2026-11-06 09:04 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) [♥野生のクマ♥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%E2%99%A5%E9%87%8E%E7%94%9F%E3%81%AE%E3%82%AF%E3%83%9E%E2%99%A5) $9.47 $1.10 0.12x 2026-11-06 08:58 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) [gregorysargsyan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/gregorysargsyan) $9.47 $1.10 0.12x 2026-11-06 07:29 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) [всё тебе радо](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B2%D1%81%D1%91%20%D1%82%D0%B5%D0%B1%D0%B5%20%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%BE) $9.47 $1.10 0.12x 2026-11-06 05:57 UTC

[USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) [Vismut83](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Vismut83) $9.47 $2.61 0.28x 2026-11-06 05:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) [kezhsmirnov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kezhsmirnov) $9.47 $0.78 0.08x 2026-11-06 05:17 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) [23](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/23) $9.47 $0.78 0.08x 2026-11-06 05:08 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $9.47 | 63.49% | 28 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $9.47 | 63.29% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% sunny 0.0% restricted 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% rare 2.9% Ancient 0.0% pink 11.6% gold 0.3% red 6.7% #d32ee6 4.9% Legendary 3.5% Mythical 51.7% #4b69ff 18.4%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 63.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $63.49 on average: an expected loss of $36.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt