---
title: "Daily 8 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Daily 8 ($26.34) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 55.93% from 28 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily8
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Daily 8](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily8)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Daily 8

A case on CSGORUN (daily), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily8?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily8?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily8) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily8?window=all)

Price · $26.34

Advertised RTP · 55.93% · EV $14.73 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily8?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily8?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily8) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily8?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $5,910 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $5,745 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200,000 | $4,251 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 333,333 | $3,100 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 142,857 | $2,610 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 125,000 | $1,633 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 22,222 | $1,502 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 62,500 | $1,232 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 40,000 | $1,031 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13,333 | $953 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 8,000 | $532 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,600 | $461 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 11,765 | $423 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,379 | $394 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $301 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $285 | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $220 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $164 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 143 | $121 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 83,333 | $97.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Getaway Sally \| The Professionals agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/getaway-sally-the-professionals) | 1 in 67 | $64.75 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $38.73 | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $30.27 | 14.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $22.37 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $20.16 | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-well-worn) | 15.0% | $7.38 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) | 25.0% | $3.54 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) | 31.3% | $0.63 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/daily8/show`, 6 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=daily8)

[SG 553 | Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) [kezhsmirnov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kezhsmirnov) $26.34 $3.54 0.13x 2026-11-06 05:17 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) [Xorvell 3.12](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Xorvell%203.12) $26.34 $0.63 0.02x 2026-11-05 22:12 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) [VivereMilitareEst](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/VivereMilitareEst) $26.34 $0.63 0.02x 2026-11-05 21:36 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) [IliEtoBAOBAB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/IliEtoBAOBAB) $26.34 $0.63 0.02x 2026-11-05 20:30 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) [твоя мама](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%BE%D1%8F%20%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B0) $26.34 $0.63 0.02x 2026-11-05 20:17 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) [van](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/van) $26.34 $0.63 0.02x 2026-11-05 14:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) [macbook player](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/macbook%20player) $26.34 $0.63 0.02x 2026-11-05 14:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-well-worn) [Никита Иванов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B0%20%D0%98%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2) $26.34 $7.38 0.28x 2026-11-05 13:08 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) [freechka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/freechka) $26.34 $3.54 0.13x 2026-11-05 11:46 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) [AniDark](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/AniDark) $26.34 $3.54 0.13x 2026-11-05 08:10 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $26.34 | 55.93% | 28 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $26.34 | 57.34% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.3% contraband 0.0% extraordinary 0.7% Classified 0.0% sunny 0.1% #ffd700 0.5% red 7.2% epic 0.5% exceptional 1.5% Legendary 3.0% pink 35.0% classified 15.0% #8847ff 31.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 55.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $55.93 on average: an expected loss of $44.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt