---
title: "Deagle case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Deagle ($1.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.50% from 36 items with odds, observed 94.74% over 1,203 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/deagle
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Deagle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/deagle)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Deagle

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/deagle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/deagle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/deagle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/deagle?window=all)

Price · $1.49

Advertised RTP · 93.50% · EV $1.39 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.74% · 1,203 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 27.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 57.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 104.66% ±10.05 431 openings

7 days · 94.74% ±6.01 1,203 openings

30 days · 94.74% ±6.01 1,203 openings

since tracking started · 94.74% ±6.01 1,203 openings

88.0% 101.8% 115.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/deagle?window=24h) | 431 | 104.66% ±10.0 | +2.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/deagle?window=7d) | 1,203 | 94.74% ±6.01 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/deagle) | 1,203 | 94.74% ±6.01 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/deagle?window=all) | 1,203 | 94.74% ±6.01 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,262 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $194 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 250,000 | $147 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-factory-new) | 1 in 142,857 | $87.86 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 76,923 | $69.60 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23,810 | $46.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-factory-new) | 1 in 10,101 | $34.49 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 4,717 | $23.40 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,370 | $20.73 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 1,159 | $14.29 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 431 | $10.45 | 1.7% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 225 | $8.04 | 2.6% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.07× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) | 1 in 119 | $7.89 | 4.7% | 12 | 10.6 | 1.14× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $4.89 | 4.1% | 17 | 14.7 | 1.16× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $3.70 | 5.2% | 28 | 24.5 | 1.14× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $3.09 | 7.1% | 42 | 40.6 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $3.01 | 5.0% | 27 | 29.0 | 0.93× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $2.32 | 7.2% | 49 | 54.6 | 0.90× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $1.85 | 9.4% | 87 | 88.9 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Bronze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $1.83 | 7.9% | 77 | 75.4 | 1.02× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $1.81 | 8.6% | 100 | 84.0 | 1.19× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $1.64 | 9.5% | 84 | 102.1 | 0.82× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $1.35 | 3.7% | 53 | 48.5 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $1.04 | 2.9% | 47 | 48.5 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.97 | 2.7% | 56 | 48.5 | 1.16× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.82 | 2.3% | 50 | 48.5 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.76 | 2.1% | 53 | 48.5 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.63 | 1.7% | 45 | 48.5 | 0.93× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.55 | 1.5% | 49 | 48.5 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.52 | 1.4% | 49 | 48.5 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.48 | 1.3% | 47 | 48.5 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.41 | 1.1% | 51 | 48.5 | 1.05× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.33 | 0.9% | 52 | 48.5 | 1.07× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.31 | 0.9% | 37 | 48.5 | 0.76× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.30 | 0.8% | 39 | 48.5 | 0.80× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-rubble-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.28 | 0.8% | 54 | 48.5 | 1.11× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.17 | 0.5% | 47 | 48.5 | 0.97× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/deagle/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=deagle)

[Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-minimal-wear) [Пицот](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%B8%D1%86%D0%BE%D1%82) $1.49 $0.97 0.65x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [Пицот](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%B8%D1%86%D0%BE%D1%82) $1.49 $8.04 5.40x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-minimal-wear) [Miks34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Miks34) $1.49 $0.41 0.28x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) [Miks34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Miks34) $1.49 $1.64 1.10x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) [tse&ame~](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/tse%26ame~) $1.49 $0.82 0.55x 2026-11-11 06:50 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) [tse&ame~](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/tse%26ame~) $1.49 $1.64 1.10x 2026-11-11 06:50 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) [Desync incident](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Desync%20incident) $1.49 $1.64 1.10x 2026-11-11 06:35 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-field-tested) [f1ddlest1cks!](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/f1ddlest1cks!) $1.49 $0.31 0.21x 2026-11-11 05:37 UTC

[Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-minimal-wear) [Escroc](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Escroc) $1.49 $0.33 0.22x 2026-11-11 05:36 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-rubble-minimal-wear) [Escroc](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Escroc) $1.49 $0.28 0.19x 2026-11-11 05:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $1.49 | 93.50% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.49 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% classified 0.5% restricted 8.9% pink 3.8% industrial 0.8% uncommon 1.2% Uncommon 13.0% mil spec 17.7% blue 12.0% #8847ff 7.0% violet 8.1% blueLight 3.8% Rare 15.4% #4b69ff 7.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.50 on average: an expected loss of $6.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt