--- title: "Driver case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Driver ($184.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.42% from 30 items with odds, observed 71.70% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/driver rendered: 2026-11-11T13:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Driver](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/driver) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Driver A case on CSGORUN (gloves2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/driver?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/driver?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/driver) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/driver?window=all) Price · $184.99 Advertised RTP · 93.42% · EV $172.81 from 30 items Observed RTP, 30d · 71.70% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 64.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 1 openings · below min 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 117.3% 235.0% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/driver?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/driver?window=7d) | 1 | 71.70% ±162.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/driver) | 1 | 71.70% ±162.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/driver?window=all) | 1 | 71.70% ±162.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $2,093 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-factory-new) | 1 in 2,193 | $1,689 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Garden (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 933 | $1,355 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 474 | $1,145 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) | 1 in 289 | $1,093 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 204 | $770 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $634 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $531 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $453 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Garden (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-garden-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $398 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $377 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $292 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $288 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $264 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $245 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $207 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Plum Quill (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $184 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $161 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $133 | 3.5% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $115 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $108 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Plum Quill (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $102 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Dragon Fists (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $99.73 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $81.58 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $79.03 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $57.80 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $49.57 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $44.07 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $39.53 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $32.73 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/driver/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=driver) [★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $185 $133 0.72x 2026-11-06 15:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $185 | 93.42% | 30 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $185 | 94.00% | 30 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 10.7% extraordinary 51.6% Immortal 19.4% sunny 4.6% epic 13.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.42 on average: an expected loss of $6.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt