---
title: "Evelone 192 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Evelone 192 ($32.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.38% from 42 items with odds, observed 90.54% over 173 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Evelone 192](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Evelone 192

A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192?window=all)

Price · $32.99

Advertised RTP · 90.38% · EV $29.82 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.54% · 173 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 43 openings · below min

7 days · 89.59% ±14.64 157 openings

30 days · 90.54% ±13.97 173 openings

since tracking started · 90.54% ±13.97 173 openings

59.0% 87.8% 116.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192?window=24h) | 43 | 87.63% ±28.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192?window=7d) | 157 | 89.59% ±14.6 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192) | 173 | 90.54% ±14.0 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192?window=all) | 173 | 90.54% ±14.0 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 173 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 250,000 | $1,284 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 200,000 | $1,253 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 166,667 | $1,113 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35,714 | $761 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18,868 | $640 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,246 | $468 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 4,425 | $366 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-field-tested) | 1 in 1,326 | $261 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 600 | $181 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 329 | $154 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 241 | $144 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) | 1 in 229 | $141 | 2.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-field-tested) | 1 in 193 | $138 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 223 | $131 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 156 | $111 | 2.4% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.80× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 147 | $105 | 2.4% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.69× |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $102 | 2.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $89.56 | 3.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $81.42 | 3.7% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $79.50 | 2.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $62.30 | 5.0% | 6 | 4.2 | 1.44× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $60.56 | 5.2% | 4 | 4.4 | 0.91× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $50.59 | 5.8% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $43.69 | 7.0% | 14 | 8.3 | 1.69× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $39.53 | 7.7% | 7 | 10.0 | 0.70× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $34.66 | 9.5% | 14 | 14.2 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $29.39 | 7.8% | 12 | 13.6 | 0.88× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $27.05 | 3.5% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $19.81 | 2.5% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $18.62 | 2.4% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $16.80 | 2.1% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× |
| [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $14.19 | 1.8% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $12.64 | 1.6% | 3 | 6.6 | 0.46× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $12.37 | 1.6% | 10 | 6.6 | 1.52× |
| [MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $11.11 | 1.4% | 8 | 6.6 | 1.21× |
| [MP5-SD \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-nitro-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $10.58 | 1.4% | 9 | 6.6 | 1.37× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $7.80 | 1.0% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× |
| [UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $6.54 | 0.8% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Black Limba (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-black-limba-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $6.33 | 0.8% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $5.66 | 0.7% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $4.69 | 0.6% | 4 | 6.6 | 0.61× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $3.97 | 0.5% | 10 | 6.6 | 1.52× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/evelone192/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=evelone192)

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) [Agent Beob](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Agent%20Beob) $32.99 $19.81 0.60x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC

[UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) [Черкашсуке](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%88%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B5) $32.99 $6.54 0.20x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) [Черкашсуке](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%88%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B5) $32.99 $19.81 0.60x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC

[MP5-SD | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-nitro-factory-new) [Черкашсуке](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%88%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B5) $32.99 $10.58 0.32x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-minimal-wear) [Черкашсуке](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%88%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B5) $32.99 $12.37 0.37x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) [Черкашсуке](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%88%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B5) $32.99 $29.39 0.89x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC

[AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) [Черкашсуке](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%88%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B5) $32.99 $34.66 1.05x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC

[M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) [Черкашсуке](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%88%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B5) $32.99 $81.42 2.47x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC

[MP5-SD | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-nitro-factory-new) [Черкашсуке](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%88%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B5) $32.99 $10.58 0.32x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [Черкашсуке](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%88%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BA%D0%B5) $32.99 $43.69 1.32x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $32.99 | 90.38% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $32.99 | 93.28% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 11.4% covert 6.0% extraordinary 6.2% mil spec 17.0% rare 0.5% restricted 16.4% #ffd700 0.4% epic 0.5% Ancient 8.8% covert knife 2.5% gold 3.4% industrial 7.6% #d32ee6 3.8% uncommon 3.8% #87c7ff 3.8% Mythical 3.8% #8847ff 3.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.38 on average: an expected loss of $9.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt