---
title: "Famas case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Famas ($0.86) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.08% from 36 items with odds, observed 89.53% over 106 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/famas
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Famas](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/famas)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Famas

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/famas?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/famas?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/famas) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/famas?window=all)

Price · $0.86

Advertised RTP · 94.08% · EV $0.81 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.53% · 106 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 89.53% ±24.28 106 openings

30 days · 89.53% ±24.28 106 openings

since tracking started · 89.53% ±24.28 106 openings

0.5% 73.3% 146.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/famas?window=24h) | 12 | 73.45% ±72.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/famas?window=7d) | 106 | 89.53% ±24.3 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/famas) | 106 | 89.53% ±24.3 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/famas?window=all) | 106 | 89.53% ±24.3 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 159 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $117 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Contrast Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 111,111 | $87.04 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Meltdown (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-factory-new) | 1 in 66,667 | $61.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) | 1 in 32,258 | $39.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17,241 | $29.27 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,618 | $17.99 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 1 in 2,625 | $13.65 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,479 | $9.86 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-factory-new) | 1 in 544 | $8.12 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 1 in 330 | $6.44 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $4.15 | 4.0% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.61× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $3.80 | 4.7% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $2.75 | 4.6% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.40× |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $2.68 | 5.1% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.23× |
| [FAMAS \| Faulty Wiring (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-faulty-wiring-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $2.66 | 5.1% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.41× |
| [FAMAS \| CaliCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-calicamo-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $2.20 | 4.7% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $1.52 | 6.7% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.05× |
| [FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-yeti-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $1.37 | 7.9% | 9 | 7.4 | 1.21× |
| [FAMAS \| Colony (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.94 | 4.9% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.18× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $0.90 | 7.4% | 12 | 10.6 | 1.13× |
| [FAMAS \| 2A2F (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-2a2f-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.89 | 9.3% | 16 | 13.5 | 1.18× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.81 | 4.3% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.04× |
| [FAMAS \| Teardown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.67 | 3.5% | 3 | 6.8 | 0.44× |
| [FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-yeti-camo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.56 | 2.9% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.89× |
| [FAMAS \| Half Sleeve (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-half-sleeve-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.54 | 2.8% | 2 | 6.8 | 0.30× |
| [FAMAS \| Halftone Wash (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-halftone-wash-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.45 | 2.4% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.89× |
| [FAMAS \| Faulty Wiring (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-faulty-wiring-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.39 | 2.0% | 18 | 6.8 | 2.66× |
| [FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.37 | 1.9% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.89× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.31 | 1.6% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.18× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.26 | 1.4% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.89× |
| [FAMAS \| Teardown (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.25 | 1.3% | 5 | 6.8 | 0.74× |
| [FAMAS \| Halftone Wash (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-halftone-wash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.24 | 1.3% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.04× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.18 | 0.9% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.04× |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.16 | 0.8% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.04× |
| [FAMAS \| Grey Ghost (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-grey-ghost-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.15 | 0.8% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.89× |
| [FAMAS \| Vendetta (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-vendetta-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.12 | 0.6% | 5 | 6.8 | 0.74× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/famas/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=famas)

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) [Mr.Frodo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Mr.Frodo) $0.86 $1.52 1.77x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC

[FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) [Mr.Frodo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Mr.Frodo) $0.86 $0.90 1.05x 2026-11-11 10:50 UTC

[FAMAS | Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) [Mr.Morkovkin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Mr.Morkovkin) $0.86 $0.26 0.30x 2026-11-11 10:28 UTC

[FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-vendetta-factory-new) [Mr.Morkovkin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Mr.Morkovkin) $0.86 $0.12 0.14x 2026-11-11 10:28 UTC

[FAMAS | Faulty Wiring (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-faulty-wiring-field-tested) [Mr.Morkovkin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Mr.Morkovkin) $0.86 $0.39 0.45x 2026-11-11 10:28 UTC

[FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) [Артур Решетов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D1%80%D1%82%D1%83%D1%80%20%D0%A0%D0%B5%D1%88%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.86 $0.16 0.19x 2026-11-11 05:30 UTC

[FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) [Gigant\_k1fl](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Gigant_k1fl) $0.86 $0.37 0.43x 2026-11-10 20:14 UTC

[FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) [Gigant\_k1fl](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Gigant_k1fl) $0.86 $0.90 1.05x 2026-11-10 20:14 UTC

[FAMAS | Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) [Gigant\_k1fl](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Gigant_k1fl) $0.86 $0.81 0.94x 2026-11-10 20:14 UTC

[FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-yeti-camo-factory-new) [Hanzo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Hanzo) $0.86 $1.37 1.59x 2026-11-10 19:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.86 | 94.08% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.86 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.1% consumer 8.5% pink 0.3% mil spec 31.1% milspec 4.4% #8847ff 1.5% other 1.5% industrial 14.5% restricted 3.6% #4b69ff 8.9% Rare 12.7% Uncommon 8.5% #5e98d9 4.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.08 on average: an expected loss of $5.92 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt