--- title: "Farm asiimov case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Farm asiimov ($1.29) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 4 items with odds, observed 84.63% over 3,745 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-asiimov rendered: 2026-11-11T22:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Farm asiimov](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-asiimov) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Farm asiimov A case on CSGORUN (farm2026), first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-asiimov?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-asiimov?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-asiimov) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-asiimov?window=all) Price · $1.29 Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $1.21 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.63% · 3,745 openings, odds method Variance · 33.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 79.96% ±26.06 1,878 openings 7 days · 84.63% ±18.46 3,745 openings 30 days · 84.63% ±18.46 3,745 openings since tracking started · 84.63% ±18.46 3,745 openings 53.0% 79.8% 106.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-asiimov?window=24h) | 1,878 | 79.96% ±26.1 | −1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-asiimov?window=7d) | 3,745 | 84.63% ±18.5 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-asiimov) | 3,745 | 84.63% ±18.5 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-asiimov?window=all) | 3,745 | 84.63% ±18.5 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,034 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $105 | 43.3% | 18 | 20.2 | 0.89× | | [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $3.63 | 25.9% | 355 | 348.7 | 1.02× | | [AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) | 13.4% | $1.93 | 21.3% | 539 | 538.7 | 1.00× | | [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 77.5% | $0.15 | 9.6% | 3,122 | 3126.4 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/farm_asiimov/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [movemint](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/movemint) $1.29 $105 81.36x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [Phoenix](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Phoenix) $1.29 $105 81.36x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [GuStaVoVi4](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/GuStaVoVi4) $1.29 $105 81.36x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [RoBot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/RoBot) $1.29 $105 81.36x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [мамба](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%BC%D0%B1%D0%B0) $1.29 $105 81.36x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [Polog](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Polog) $1.29 $105 81.36x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [🤑Roy run🤑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%A4%91Roy%20run%F0%9F%A4%91) $1.29 $105 81.36x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [wwwwwwwwwwww](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/wwwwwwwwwwww) $1.29 $105 81.36x 2026-11-10 15:50 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [ASKO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ASKO) $1.29 $105 81.36x 2026-11-10 15:40 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [RoBot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/RoBot) $1.29 $105 81.36x 2026-11-10 13:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=farm-asiimov) [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Only\_Awp](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Only_Awp) $1.29 $0.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:57 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $1.29 $0.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $1.29 $0.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $1.29 $0.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $1.29 $0.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $1.29 $0.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $1.29 $0.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $1.29 $0.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $1.29 $0.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $1.29 $0.15 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 20:46 UTC | $1.29 | 94.00% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.5% restricted 8.6% Mythical 13.4% industrial 77.5% best hit $105 (81.36x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt