---
title: "Farm egg grey case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Farm egg grey ($0.03) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 99.61% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-egg-grey
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Farm egg grey](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-egg-grey)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Farm egg grey

A case on CSGORUN (farmeggs), first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-egg-grey?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-egg-grey?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-egg-grey) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-egg-grey?window=all)

Price · $0.03

Advertised RTP · 99.61% · EV $0.03 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 8.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-egg-grey?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-egg-grey?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-egg-grey) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-egg-grey?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 8,000 | $3.60 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 8,000 | $3.60 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-well-worn) | 1 in 1,333 | $1.20 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,333 | $1.20 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Control (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-control-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $0.45 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $0.45 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Grey Ghost (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-grey-ghost-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $0.15 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Steel Work (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-steel-work-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $0.15 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.06 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Buff Blue (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.06 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Copper Fiber (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-copper-fiber-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.03 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Blue Blast (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-minimal-wear) | 13.2% | $0.02 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Multi-Terrain (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-multi-terrain-field-tested) | 31.5% | $0.01 | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Raw Ceramic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-raw-ceramic-field-tested) | 31.5% | $0.01 | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/farm-egg-grey/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=farm-egg-grey)

[Negev | Raw Ceramic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-raw-ceramic-field-tested) [arsenius2019](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/arsenius2019) $0.03 $0.01 0.33x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC

[MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-multi-terrain-field-tested) [Yxog9\`rAcuTe,Mug](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Yxog9%60rAcuTe%2CMug) $0.03 $0.01 0.33x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-minimal-wear) [stilezzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stilezzz) $0.03 $0.02 0.67x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-multi-terrain-field-tested) [stilezzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stilezzz) $0.03 $0.01 0.33x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[Negev | Raw Ceramic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-raw-ceramic-field-tested) [кактус](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%BA%D1%82%D1%83%D1%81) $0.03 $0.01 0.33x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC

[Negev | Raw Ceramic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-raw-ceramic-field-tested) [smouz. | d a n 9](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/smouz.%20%7C%20d%20a%20n%209) $0.03 $0.01 0.33x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC

[Negev | Raw Ceramic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-raw-ceramic-field-tested) [verity from minecraft](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/verity%20from%20minecraft) $0.03 $0.01 0.33x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-minimal-wear) [verity from minecraft](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/verity%20from%20minecraft) $0.03 $0.02 0.67x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-multi-terrain-field-tested) [verity from minecraft](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/verity%20from%20minecraft) $0.03 $0.01 0.33x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[MP9 | Buff Blue (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-buff-blue-factory-new) [verity from minecraft](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/verity%20from%20minecraft) $0.03 $0.06 2.00x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 11:37 UTC | $0.03 | 99.61% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 0.0% Legendary 0.0% violet 0.9% Mythical 0.1% industrial 2.0% blueLight 2.0% #5e98d9 13.8% Common 5.0% #b0c3d9 76.2%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 99.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $99.61 on average: an expected loss of $0.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt