--- title: "Farm howl case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Farm howl ($62.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 4 items with odds, observed 36.95% over 5 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-howl rendered: 2026-11-11T19:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Farm howl](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-howl) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Farm howl A case on CSGORUN (farm2026), first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-howl?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-howl?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-howl) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-howl?window=all) Price · $62.99 Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $59.21 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 36.95% · 5 openings, odds method Variance · 32.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 5 openings · below min 30 days · 5 openings · below min since tracking started · 5 openings · below min -0.5% 266.8% 534.0% **Small sample.** 5 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-howl?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-howl?window=7d) | 5 | 36.95% ±496.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-howl) | 5 | 36.95% ±496.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-howl?window=all) | 5 | 36.95% ±496.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $5,029 | 42.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $185 | 28.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 13.7% | $94.58 | 21.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A4 \| Griffin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) | 76.7% | $5.45 | 7.1% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/farm_howl/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=farm-howl) [M4A4 | Griffin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) [Владимир Коваленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%92%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B8%D1%80%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $62.99 $5.45 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:09 UTC [M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) [Владимир Коваленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%92%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B8%D1%80%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $62.99 $94.58 1.50x 2026-11-10 12:09 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) [Владимир Коваленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%92%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B8%D1%80%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $62.99 $5.45 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) [Владимир Коваленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%92%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B8%D1%80%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $62.99 $5.45 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) [Владимир Коваленко](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%92%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B8%D1%80%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BA%D0%BE) $62.99 $5.45 0.09x 2026-11-10 11:01 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $62.99 $5.45 0.09x 2026-11-09 20:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 20:46 UTC | $62.99 | 94.00% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.5% covert 9.1% classified 13.7% restricted 76.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt