--- title: "Farm hyperbeast case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Farm hyperbeast ($0.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 4 items with odds, observed 83.44% over 5,839 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-hyperbeast rendered: 2026-11-11T15:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Farm hyperbeast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-hyperbeast) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Farm hyperbeast A case on CSGORUN (farm2026), first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-hyperbeast?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-hyperbeast?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-hyperbeast) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-hyperbeast?window=all) Price · $0.49 Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $0.46 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.44% · 5,839 openings, odds method Variance · 25.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.45% ±18.77 2,807 openings 7 days · 83.44% ±13.02 5,839 openings 30 days · 83.44% ±13.02 5,839 openings since tracking started · 83.44% ±13.02 5,839 openings 69.0% 88.5% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-hyperbeast?window=24h) | 2,807 | 88.45% ±18.8 | −0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-hyperbeast?window=7d) | 5,839 | 83.44% ±13.0 | −1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-hyperbeast) | 5,839 | 83.44% ±13.0 | −1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-hyperbeast?window=all) | 5,839 | 83.44% ±13.0 | −1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,179 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $35.02 | 38.0% | 31 | 35.9 | 0.86× | | [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 10.6% | $1.32 | 30.4% | 778 | 761.5 | 1.02× | | [AWP \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) | 15.3% | $0.71 | 23.6% | 1,094 | 1099.0 | 1.00× | | [AUG \| Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) | 73.6% | $0.05 | 8.0% | 5,276 | 5282.6 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/farm_hyperbeast/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) [Из жалости](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%98%D0%B7%20%D0%B6%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B8) $0.49 $35.02 71.47x 2026-11-11 11:02 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) [Nikita Pozdnyakov](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Nikita%20Pozdnyakov) $0.49 $35.02 71.47x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) [./../](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/.%2F..%2F) $0.49 $35.02 71.47x 2026-11-10 22:06 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) [Re5ven csgorun](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Re5ven%20csgorun) $0.49 $35.02 71.47x 2026-11-10 21:43 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) [RoBot](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/RoBot) $0.49 $35.02 71.47x 2026-11-10 21:08 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) [🤑Roy run🤑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%A4%91Roy%20run%F0%9F%A4%91) $0.49 $35.02 71.47x 2026-11-10 20:53 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) [🤑Roy run🤑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%A4%91Roy%20run%F0%9F%A4%91) $0.49 $35.02 71.47x 2026-11-10 19:57 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) [Лебовски](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9B%D0%B5%D0%B1%D0%BE%D0%B2%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8) $0.49 $35.02 71.47x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) [hardyxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/hardyxz) $0.49 $35.02 71.47x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) [Jeff](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Jeff) $0.49 $35.02 71.47x 2026-11-10 18:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=farm-hyperbeast) [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) [lowenbrau](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/lowenbrau) $0.49 $0.05 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) [lowenbrau](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/lowenbrau) $0.49 $0.05 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) [lowenbrau](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/lowenbrau) $0.49 $1.32 2.69x 2026-11-11 15:26 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) [💢morew2💢](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%92%A2morew2%F0%9F%92%A2) $0.49 $0.05 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) [💢morew2💢](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%92%A2morew2%F0%9F%92%A2) $0.49 $0.05 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) [💢morew2💢](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%92%A2morew2%F0%9F%92%A2) $0.49 $0.71 1.45x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) [💢morew2💢](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%92%A2morew2%F0%9F%92%A2) $0.49 $0.05 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) [💢morew2💢](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%92%A2morew2%F0%9F%92%A2) $0.49 $0.05 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) [💢morew2💢](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%92%A2morew2%F0%9F%92%A2) $0.49 $0.05 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) [💢morew2💢](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%92%A2morew2%F0%9F%92%A2) $0.49 $0.05 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 20:46 UTC | $0.49 | 94.00% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.5% restricted 10.6% milspec 15.3% consumer 73.6% best hit $35.02 (71.47x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt