--- title: "Farm redline case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Farm redline ($0.39) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 4 items with odds, observed 95.95% over 18.7K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-redline rendered: 2026-11-11T14:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Farm redline](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-redline) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Farm redline A case on CSGORUN (farm2026), first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-redline?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-redline?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-redline) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-redline?window=all) Price · $0.39 Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $0.37 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.95% · 18.7K openings, odds method Variance · 28.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 95.49% ±9.51 12K openings 7 days · 95.95% ±7.63 18.7K openings 30 days · 95.95% ±7.63 18.7K openings since tracking started · 95.95% ±7.63 18.7K openings 85.5% 95.5% 105.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-redline?window=24h) | 12K | 95.49% ±9.51 | +0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-redline?window=7d) | 18.7K | 95.95% ±7.63 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-redline) | 18.7K | 95.95% ±7.63 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-redline?window=all) | 18.7K | 95.95% ±7.63 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20.8K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $29.06 | 39.6% | 107 | 104.1 | 1.03× | | [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1.47 | 29.9% | 1,583 | 1551.6 | 1.02× | | [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 13.4% | $0.60 | 21.9% | 2,844 | 2788.0 | 1.02× | | [AUG \| Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) | 78.7% | $0.04 | 8.6% | 16,293 | 16383.3 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/farm_redline/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $29.06 74.51x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [🤑Roy run🤑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%A4%91Roy%20run%F0%9F%A4%91) $0.39 $29.06 74.51x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [🤑Roy run🤑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%A4%91Roy%20run%F0%9F%A4%91) $0.39 $29.06 74.51x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [🤑Roy run🤑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%A4%91Roy%20run%F0%9F%A4%91) $0.39 $29.06 74.51x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [🤑Roy run🤑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%A4%91Roy%20run%F0%9F%A4%91) $0.39 $29.06 74.51x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [🤑Roy run🤑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%A4%91Roy%20run%F0%9F%A4%91) $0.39 $29.06 74.51x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [🤑Roy run🤑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9F%A4%91Roy%20run%F0%9F%A4%91) $0.39 $29.06 74.51x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [Ice Wallow Come](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Ice%20Wallow%20Come) $0.39 $29.06 74.51x 2026-11-11 11:34 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [Gon Furīkusu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Gon%20Fur%C4%ABkusu) $0.39 $29.06 74.51x 2026-11-11 10:21 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [5 подбородков](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/5%20%D0%BF%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%B1%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.39 $29.06 74.51x 2026-11-11 10:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=farm-redline) [AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $0.60 1.54x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $0.04 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $0.04 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $0.04 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $0.60 1.54x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $0.04 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $0.04 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $0.04 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $0.04 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) [stA1sy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/stA1sy) $0.39 $0.60 1.54x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 20:46 UTC | $0.39 | 94.00% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.5% blue 7.5% Rare 13.4% Common 78.7% best hit $29.06 (74.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt