--- title: "Farm vulcan case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Farm vulcan ($2.39) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 4 items with odds, observed 69.09% over 1,024 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-vulcan rendered: 2026-11-11T20:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Farm vulcan](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-vulcan) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Farm vulcan A case on CSGORUN (farm2026), first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-vulcan?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-vulcan?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-vulcan) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-vulcan?window=all) Price · $2.39 Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $2.25 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.09% · 1,024 openings, odds method Variance · 28.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 96.14% ±76.52 187 openings 7 days · 69.09% ±32.70 1,024 openings 30 days · 69.09% ±32.70 1,024 openings since tracking started · 69.09% ±32.70 1,024 openings 19.0% 96.3% 173.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-vulcan?window=24h) | 187 | 96.14% ±76.5 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-vulcan?window=7d) | 1,024 | 69.09% ±32.7 | −1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-vulcan) | 1,024 | 69.09% ±32.7 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/farm-vulcan?window=all) | 1,024 | 69.09% ±32.7 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,073 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $180 | 40.0% | 2 | 5.4 | 0.37× | | [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $7.04 | 28.7% | 90 | 98.1 | 0.92× | | [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-factory-new) | 14.1% | $3.59 | 22.5% | 152 | 151.3 | 1.00× | | [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) | 76.3% | $0.26 | 8.8% | 829 | 818.3 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/farm_vulcan/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) [Mojzha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Mojzha) $2.39 $180 75.19x 2026-11-11 07:52 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) [Lightway](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Lightway) $2.39 $180 75.19x 2026-11-10 11:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=farm-vulcan) [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) [Рональдинио](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BE) $2.39 $0.26 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) [Рональдинио](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A0%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BE) $2.39 $0.26 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:08 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) [kpac](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kpac) $2.39 $0.26 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) [lowenbrau](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/lowenbrau) $2.39 $0.26 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:50 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) [qwerty](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/qwerty) $2.39 $0.26 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) [bobi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/bobi) $2.39 $7.04 2.95x 2026-11-11 17:42 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) [bobi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/bobi) $2.39 $0.26 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:42 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) [Above the Rest](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Above%20the%20Rest) $2.39 $0.26 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) [Above the Rest](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Above%20the%20Rest) $2.39 $0.26 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) [Above the Rest](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Above%20the%20Rest) $2.39 $0.26 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 20:46 UTC | $2.39 | 94.00% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.5% mil spec 9.1% #4b69ff 14.1% Uncommon 76.3% best hit $180 (75.19x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt