---
title: "Faze team case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Faze team ($0.92) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.32% from 42 items with odds, observed 92.66% over 2,591 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Faze team](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Faze team

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team?window=all)

Price · $0.92

Advertised RTP · 93.32% · EV $0.86 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.66% · 2,591 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 91.23% ±9.74 1,572 openings

30 days · 92.66% ±7.64 2,591 openings

since tracking started · 92.66% ±7.64 2,591 openings

-0.5% 206.3% 413.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team?window=24h) | 1 | 27.17% ±385.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team?window=7d) | 1,572 | 91.23% ±9.74 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team) | 2,591 | 92.66% ±7.64 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team?window=all) | 2,591 | 92.66% ±7.64 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,591 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Frosty (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $1,234 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $532 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $232 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 333,333 | $94.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 142,857 | $71.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 83,333 | $53.11 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 50,000 | $40.84 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32,258 | $36.50 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29,412 | $32.30 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 17,241 | $25.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 6,536 | $16.23 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 4,902 | $15.81 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,587 | $14.24 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,846 | $13.66 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,521 | $13.52 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-factory-new) | 1 in 2,012 | $10.65 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,603 | $10.60 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-battle-scarred) | 1 in 421 | $5.74 | 1.6% | 3 | 6.2 | 0.49× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 285 | $5.46 | 2.2% | 13 | 9.1 | 1.43× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) | 1 in 223 | $5.18 | 2.7% | 14 | 11.6 | 1.20× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 225 | $4.78 | 2.5% | 17 | 11.5 | 1.48× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 189 | $4.32 | 2.7% | 7 | 13.7 | 0.51× |
| [P90 \| Virus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 86 | $3.97 | 5.4% | 28 | 30.0 | 0.93× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $3.65 | 3.1% | 21 | 18.7 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-battle-scarred) | 1 in 95 | $2.97 | 3.6% | 23 | 27.2 | 0.85× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 89 | $2.77 | 3.6% | 31 | 29.2 | 1.06× |
| [SG 553 \| Pulse (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $2.35 | 4.1% | 43 | 38.5 | 1.12× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $2.31 | 3.7% | 38 | 36.1 | 1.05× |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $1.35 | 6.9% | 95 | 113.0 | 0.84× |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $1.18 | 6.0% | 106 | 113.0 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $1.10 | 8.1% | 185 | 164.6 | 1.12× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.09 | 6.4% | 136 | 131.1 | 1.04× |
| [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.72 | 6.0% | 172 | 184.6 | 0.93× |
| [USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.67 | 5.6% | 166 | 185.0 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.63 | 5.2% | 183 | 184.7 | 0.99× |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.49 | 4.0% | 191 | 183.7 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.33 | 2.7% | 176 | 183.2 | 0.96× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.32 | 2.6% | 172 | 182.9 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.31 | 2.5% | 194 | 182.9 | 1.06× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.25 | 2.0% | 200 | 181.9 | 1.10× |
| [UMP-45 \| Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-warm-blooded-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.17 | 1.4% | 196 | 181.4 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.13 | 1.1% | 176 | 181.1 | 0.97× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/faze_team/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=faze-team)

[CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-well-worn) [Volchonok052](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Volchonok052) $0.92 $0.25 0.27x 2026-11-10 17:33 UTC

[M4A1-S | Electrum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-battle-scarred) [valdik\_12345](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/valdik_12345) $0.92 $0.72 0.78x 2026-11-10 12:25 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-field-tested) [valdik\_12345](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/valdik_12345) $0.92 $0.49 0.53x 2026-11-10 12:25 UTC

[XM1014 | Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) [valdik\_12345](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/valdik_12345) $0.92 $1.35 1.47x 2026-11-10 12:24 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-field-tested) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $0.92 $0.49 0.53x 2026-11-09 22:36 UTC

[MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-field-tested) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $0.92 $1.09 1.18x 2026-11-09 22:36 UTC

[M4A1-S | Electrum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-battle-scarred) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $0.92 $0.72 0.78x 2026-11-09 22:36 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-well-worn) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $0.92 $0.63 0.68x 2026-11-09 22:36 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-minimal-wear) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $0.92 $0.32 0.35x 2026-11-09 22:36 UTC

[M4A4 | Turbine (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-well-worn) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $0.92 $1.18 1.28x 2026-11-09 22:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.92 | 93.32% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.91 | 94.35% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.91 | 93.99% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% covert 0.0% sunny 0.0% classified 2.1% red 0.0% Covert 0.0% Ancient 0.0% #d32ce6 0.0% Legendary 0.5% pink 1.7% #8847ff 2.3% blue 15.1% Restricted 1.5% violet 8.7% #4b69ff 20.5% Mythical 5.1% restricted 7.1% mil spec 14.2% Rare 7.1% Mil Spec Grade 7.0% Uncommon 7.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.32 on average: an expected loss of $6.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt