---
title: "Fiveseven case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Fiveseven ($0.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.63% from 36 items with odds, observed 95.34% over 297 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fiveseven
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Fiveseven](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fiveseven)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Fiveseven

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fiveseven?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fiveseven?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fiveseven) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fiveseven?window=all)

Price · $0.99

Advertised RTP · 91.63% · EV $0.91 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.34% · 297 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 28.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 56.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 85 openings · below min

7 days · 95.34% ±11.04 297 openings

30 days · 95.34% ±11.04 297 openings

since tracking started · 95.34% ±11.04 297 openings

83.5% 105.0% 126.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fiveseven?window=24h) | 85 | 105.20% ±20.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fiveseven?window=7d) | 297 | 95.34% ±11.0 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fiveseven) | 297 | 95.34% ±11.0 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fiveseven?window=all) | 297 | 95.34% ±11.0 | +0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 339 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $196 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $103 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250,000 | $64.00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 142,857 | $44.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 47,619 | $31.66 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,641 | $26.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Anodized Gunmetal (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-anodized-gunmetal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,130 | $17.49 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-factory-new) | 1 in 2,611 | $11.24 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 1,129 | $8.54 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hot Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 743 | $7.41 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-factory-new) | 1 in 232 | $7.26 | 3.5% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.73× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) | 1 in 146 | $4.01 | 3.0% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.86× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $3.17 | 3.7% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.11× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $2.70 | 4.8% | 2 | 5.4 | 0.37× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $2.01 | 5.5% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.07× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-contractor-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $1.81 | 7.6% | 17 | 12.9 | 1.31× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.70 | 6.1% | 14 | 11.0 | 1.27× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Withered Vine (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-withered-vine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $1.22 | 9.5% | 24 | 23.8 | 1.01× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $1.18 | 9.7% | 22 | 25.4 | 0.87× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $1.10 | 9.8% | 31 | 27.5 | 1.13× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Forest Night (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.99 | 7.8% | 25 | 24.2 | 1.03× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Withered Vine (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-withered-vine-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.91 | 3.8% | 12 | 12.8 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Dark Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.74 | 3.1% | 12 | 12.8 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.71 | 3.0% | 15 | 12.8 | 1.17× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.58 | 2.4% | 12 | 12.8 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.48 | 2.0% | 10 | 12.8 | 0.78× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.43 | 1.8% | 14 | 12.8 | 1.09× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.40 | 1.7% | 12 | 12.8 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.38 | 1.6% | 14 | 12.8 | 1.09× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.35 | 1.5% | 12 | 12.8 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.32 | 1.3% | 11 | 12.8 | 0.86× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Dark Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.24 | 1.0% | 12 | 12.8 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.21 | 0.9% | 13 | 12.8 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.20 | 0.8% | 15 | 12.8 | 1.17× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.17 | 0.7% | 13 | 12.8 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.15 | 0.6% | 8 | 12.8 | 0.63× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/fiveseven/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=fiveseven)

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $0.99 $0.58 0.59x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-field-tested) [Lemme $moke](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Lemme%20%24moke) $0.99 $0.21 0.21x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) [Grov1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Grov1) $0.99 $0.15 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-minimal-wear) [Grov1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Grov1) $0.99 $0.17 0.17x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-minimal-wear) [Grov1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Grov1) $0.99 $0.17 0.17x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) [Grov1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Grov1) $0.99 $2.01 2.03x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) [Lemme $moke](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Lemme%20%24moke) $0.99 $1.10 1.11x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-minimal-wear) [Grov1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Grov1) $0.99 $0.17 0.17x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-contractor-field-tested) [Grov1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Grov1) $0.99 $1.81 1.83x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) [Grov1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Grov1) $0.99 $1.10 1.11x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.99 | 91.63% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.99 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 3.8% classified 0.0% mil spec 2.3% industrial 0.1% restricted 16.7% consumer 11.0% Mythical 0.1% #4b69ff 8.0% blue 6.2% Mil Spec Grade 3.3% Uncommon 7.0% Industrial Grade 3.8% milspec 26.4% violet 7.6% Rare 3.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.63 on average: an expected loss of $8.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt