---
title: "Frank case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Frank ($30.00) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 42 items with odds, observed 99.55% over 273 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Frank](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Frank

A case on CSGORUN (halloween2026), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank?window=all)

Price · $30.00

Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $26.98 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 99.55% · 273 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 98.76% ±12.86 213 openings

30 days · 99.55% ±11.39 273 openings

since tracking started · 99.55% ±11.39 273 openings

85.0% 98.8% 112.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank?window=7d) | 213 | 98.76% ±12.9 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank) | 273 | 99.55% ±11.4 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank?window=all) | 273 | 99.55% ±11.4 | +1.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 273 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 66,667 | $1,354 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $907 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,130 | $640 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 5,988 | $545 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 7,937 | $538 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) | 1 in 1,862 | $329 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 920 | $244 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 628 | $222 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 410 | $173 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 217 | $141 | 2.4% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.18× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 151 | $111 | 2.7% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 106 | $87.83 | 3.1% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $80.75 | 3.5% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 75 | $72.70 | 3.6% | 5 | 3.6 | 1.38× |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $64.88 | 4.0% | 1 | 4.5 | 0.22× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $58.42 | 4.2% | 9 | 5.3 | 1.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $54.43 | 4.6% | 14 | 6.2 | 2.26× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $45.93 | 5.4% | 7 | 8.7 | 0.81× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $45.83 | 4.1% | 9 | 6.6 | 1.36× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $36.49 | 5.7% | 11 | 11.5 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $33.93 | 6.8% | 12 | 14.7 | 0.82× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $28.24 | 4.9% | 5 | 12.8 | 0.39× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $28.20 | 6.3% | 22 | 16.4 | 1.34× |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $25.99 | 5.1% | 9 | 14.5 | 0.62× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $25.78 | 5.2% | 16 | 14.9 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $22.89 | 4.6% | 7 | 14.7 | 0.48× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $21.52 | 4.0% | 18 | 13.8 | 1.30× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $14.48 | 2.3% | 10 | 11.5 | 0.87× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $14.40 | 2.2% | 15 | 11.5 | 1.31× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $12.36 | 1.7% | 14 | 10.1 | 1.39× |
| [MP7 \| Astrolabe (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-astrolabe-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $11.06 | 1.6% | 9 | 10.7 | 0.84× |
| [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $9.81 | 1.2% | 8 | 9.4 | 0.85× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $9.46 | 1.1% | 5 | 8.8 | 0.57× |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $9.18 | 1.1% | 7 | 9.0 | 0.78× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $7.56 | 0.8% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $7.41 | 0.7% | 7 | 7.0 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $5.26 | 0.4% | 9 | 6.2 | 1.46× |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $4.46 | 0.3% | 9 | 5.6 | 1.61× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $3.97 | 0.3% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.40× |
| [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $2.91 | 0.2% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.73× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $2.78 | 0.2% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.47× |
| [UMP-45 \| Mechanism (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-mechanism-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $1.85 | 0.1% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.85× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/frank/show`, 8 Nov, 19:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=frank)

[SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-factory-new) [Магомедрасул Газимагомедов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%83%D0%BB%20%D0%93%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B8%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%B2) $30.00 $28.24 0.94x 2026-11-08 20:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $30.00 $22.89 0.76x 2026-11-08 17:08 UTC

[Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $30.00 $25.78 0.86x 2026-11-08 17:08 UTC

[Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $30.00 $12.36 0.41x 2026-11-08 17:08 UTC

[FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $30.00 $45.83 1.53x 2026-11-08 17:07 UTC

[SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $30.00 $21.52 0.72x 2026-11-08 16:21 UTC

[AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) [extazi68](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/extazi68) $30.00 $33.93 1.13x 2026-11-08 07:02 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) [extazi68](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/extazi68) $30.00 $14.40 0.48x 2026-11-08 07:02 UTC

[Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $30.00 $25.78 0.86x 2026-11-08 05:38 UTC

[SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) [Timkahai](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Timkahai) $30.00 $21.52 0.72x 2026-11-08 05:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $30.00 | 89.94% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.00 | 92.16% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.2% sunny 0.0% classified 29.2% legendary 0.1% covert knife 1.3% Ancient 12.5% mil spec 2.5% #ffd700 1.9% Restricted 5.3% industrial 10.6% pink 5.1% restricted 13.3% Mythical 3.4% blue 2.6% Legendary 2.3% violet 2.0% #8847ff 1.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt