---
title: "Freecase 7 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Freecase 7 ($19.33) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 66.01% from 21 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase7
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Freecase 7](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase7)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Freecase 7

A case on CSGORUN (freecases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase7?window=all)

Price · $19.33

Advertised RTP · 66.01% · EV $12.76 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase7?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase7?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase7) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase7?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100,000 | $283 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $268 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $172 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 50,000 | $170 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 377 | $117 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $98.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $87.77 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $84.70 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118 | $72.70 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $45.91 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $37.26 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $34.60 | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $29.73 | 12.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $27.57 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $17.61 | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 10.3% | $10.12 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $9.43 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 12.8% | $7.56 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 13.8% | $2.98 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-battle-scarred) | 14.0% | $2.81 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) | 14.7% | $2.44 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/freecase7/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=freecase7)

[MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) [Lightway](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Lightway) $19.33 $2.44 0.13x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) [aspiiid](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/aspiiid) $19.33 $10.12 0.52x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC

[MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) [Jeff](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Jeff) $19.33 $2.44 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) [Jeff](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Jeff) $19.33 $7.56 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) [Kolokolchik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Kolokolchik) $19.33 $2.98 0.15x 2026-11-10 22:26 UTC

[AWP | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) [qLypto.s](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/qLypto.s) $19.33 $9.43 0.49x 2026-11-10 04:04 UTC

[AWP | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) [Скайт swageek OPPSPOTTER](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A1%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B9%D1%82%20swageek%20OPPSPOTTER) $19.33 $9.43 0.49x 2026-11-08 12:55 UTC

[MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) [Шойгу Z V](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A8%D0%BE%D0%B9%D0%B3%D1%83%20Z%20V) $19.33 $2.44 0.13x 2026-11-07 22:49 UTC

[MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) [Шойгу Z V](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A8%D0%BE%D0%B9%D0%B3%D1%83%20Z%20V) $19.33 $2.44 0.13x 2026-11-07 22:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) [илья дегровин](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B8%D0%BB%D1%8C%D1%8F%20%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BD) $19.33 $10.12 0.52x 2026-11-07 21:35 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $19.33 | 66.01% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $19.33 | 66.43% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 7.0% epic 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% classified 13.7% sunny 2.1% Legendary 13.2% red 3.6% mil spec 1.5% uncommon 7.6% Classified 8.9% pink 27.8% Mythical 14.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.01 on average: an expected loss of $33.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt