---
title: "Freecase 8 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Freecase 8 ($44.07) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.67% from 21 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase8
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Freecase 8](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase8)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Freecase 8

A case on CSGORUN (freecases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase8?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase8?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase8) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase8?window=all)

Price · $44.07

Advertised RTP · 76.67% · EV $33.79 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase8?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase8?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase8) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase8?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 200,000 | $254 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 142,857 | $220 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 690 | $217 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $207 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66,667 | $176 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28,571 | $148 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 202 | $139 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $137 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $121 | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $119 | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $110 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $90.97 | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $56.02 | 14.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $42.88 | 12.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $40.62 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $39.34 | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) | 10.3% | $16.84 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 12.8% | $16.30 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-battle-scarred) | 13.7% | $8.68 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $5.14 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 10.0% | $3.25 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/freecase8/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=freecase8)

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-battle-scarred) [Loktruee](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Loktruee) $44.07 $8.68 0.20x 2026-11-10 13:35 UTC

[AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) [Lightway](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Lightway) $44.07 $3.25 0.07x 2026-11-10 11:49 UTC

[AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) [Pizdabol poxodu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Pizdabol%20poxodu) $44.07 $3.25 0.07x 2026-11-10 09:48 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-field-tested) [Loktruee](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Loktruee) $44.07 $90.97 2.06x 2026-11-09 14:11 UTC

[AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) [Maplleee](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Maplleee) $44.07 $3.25 0.07x 2026-11-07 20:20 UTC

[AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) [Maplleee](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Maplleee) $44.07 $3.25 0.07x 2026-11-07 20:20 UTC

[AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) [Maplleee](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Maplleee) $44.07 $3.25 0.07x 2026-11-07 20:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-battle-scarred) [AniDark](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/AniDark) $44.07 $8.68 0.20x 2026-11-07 17:30 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) [микропластик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BC%D0%B8%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BF%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%BA) $44.07 $16.84 0.38x 2026-11-07 16:57 UTC

[AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) [iamfatboy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/iamfatboy) $44.07 $3.25 0.07x 2026-11-07 16:23 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $44.07 | 76.67% | 21 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $44.07 | 76.21% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 12.4% covert 30.8% classified 34.0% pink 12.8% Legendary 10.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.67 on average: an expected loss of $23.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt