---
title: "Fri 13 friday 13 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Fri 13 friday 13 ($131.30) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 40 items with odds, observed 87.80% over 62 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-friday13
rendered: 2026-11-13T02:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Fri 13 friday 13](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-friday13)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Fri 13 friday 13

A case on CSGORUN (friday13), first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-friday13?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-friday13?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-friday13) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-friday13?window=all)

Price · $131.30

Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $123.42 from 40 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.80% · 62 openings, sample method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 33.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 62 openings · below min

7 days · 62 openings · below min

30 days · 62 openings · below min

since tracking started · 62 openings · below min

69.5% 87.8% 106.0%

**Small sample.** 62 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-friday13?window=24h) | 62 | 87.80% ±17.6 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-friday13?window=7d) | 62 | 87.80% ±17.6 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-friday13) | 62 | 87.80% ±17.6 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-friday13?window=all) | 62 | 87.80% ±17.6 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 62 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 333,333 | $4,689 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) | 1 in 22,222 | $2,042 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) | 1 in 20,408 | $1,989 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 8,197 | $1,518 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $1,356 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,793 | $1,107 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,681 | $953 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 781 | $761 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 620 | $711 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 310 | $551 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-field-tested) | 1 in 239 | $495 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 149 | $405 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 98 | $340 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 75 | $304 | 3.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $270 | 3.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $233 | 4.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $214 | 5.4% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $192 | 6.3% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $174 | 7.2% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.59× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $163 | 7.9% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $155 | 8.5% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.19× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $144 | 9.4% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.21× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $141 | 9.7% | 1 | 5.2 | 0.19× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $115 | 3.1% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $103 | 2.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $91.52 | 2.4% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.50× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $81.08 | 2.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $73.78 | 1.9% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.54× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $64.46 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $57.55 | 1.4% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $50.95 | 1.2% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $43.69 | 1.0% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.66× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $42.09 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Bone Pile (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $36.34 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.14× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $31.43 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.16× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $27.47 | 0.6% | 5 | 1.7 | 2.95× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $24.78 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $22.60 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.21× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $20.18 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $19.16 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/fri13_friday13/show`, 13 Nov, 02:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [one man army](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/one%20man%20army) $131 $551 4.20x 2026-11-12 19:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=fri13-friday13)

[SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) [Ray24](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Ray24) $131 $27.47 0.21x 2026-11-13 01:54 UTC

[AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) [Ray24](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Ray24) $131 $155 1.18x 2026-11-13 01:54 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [Ray24](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Ray24) $131 $144 1.10x 2026-11-13 01:54 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [Chakmay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Chakmay) $131 $73.78 0.56x 2026-11-13 00:05 UTC

[P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-factory-new) [Chakmay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Chakmay) $131 $20.18 0.15x 2026-11-13 00:04 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) [Chakmay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Chakmay) $131 $103 0.79x 2026-11-12 23:56 UTC

[SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) [ищудевушку](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B8%D1%89%D1%83%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%83%D1%88%D0%BA%D1%83) $131 $91.52 0.70x 2026-11-12 22:08 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Phoenix](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Phoenix) $131 $214 1.63x 2026-11-12 21:27 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [BlackCasper1990](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BlackCasper1990) $131 $233 1.78x 2026-11-12 19:33 UTC

[SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) [BlackCasper1990](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BlackCasper1990) $131 $91.52 0.70x 2026-11-12 19:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 17:28 UTC | $131 | 94.00% | 40 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 35.9% legendary 0.3% Immortal 0.0% #ffd700 8.4% covert knife 14.9% extraordinary 4.1% rare 8.4% sunny 3.1% mil spec 8.5% classified 5.5% Legendary 5.4% violet 2.7% pink 2.7% best hit $551 (4.20x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt