---
title: "Fri 13 hell case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Fri 13 hell ($31.30) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.00% from 40 items with odds, observed 99.40% over 72 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-hell
rendered: 2026-11-13T03:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Fri 13 hell](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-hell)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Fri 13 hell

A case on CSGORUN (friday13), first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-hell?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-hell?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-hell) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-hell?window=all)

Price · $31.30

Advertised RTP · 94.00% · EV $29.42 from 40 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 99.40% · 72 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 55.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 72 openings · below min

7 days · 72 openings · below min

30 days · 72 openings · below min

since tracking started · 72 openings · below min

79.0% 99.5% 120.0%

**Small sample.** 72 openings and 21.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-hell?window=24h) | 72 | 99.40% ±20.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-hell?window=7d) | 72 | 99.40% ±20.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-hell) | 72 | 99.40% ±20.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fri13-hell?window=all) | 72 | 99.40% ±20.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 92 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $1,236 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 66,667 | $896 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40,000 | $752 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) | 1 in 18,182 | $584 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 8,929 | $464 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,464 | $371 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 2,146 | $293 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,140 | $239 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 604 | $195 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 351 | $163 | 1.6% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 217 | $133 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $113 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 102 | $92.43 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $81.08 | 3.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $69.68 | 4.2% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $65.08 | 4.5% | 6 | 1.9 | 3.17× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $57.71 | 5.2% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Blaze Orange (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $50.27 | 6.0% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $45.44 | 6.8% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $42.09 | 7.3% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $38.73 | 8.1% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.71× |
| [UMP-45 \| Bone Pile (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $36.34 | 8.6% | 4 | 6.4 | 0.62× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $33.76 | 9.4% | 6 | 7.5 | 0.80× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $27.47 | 3.0% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $24.78 | 2.7% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| [MP7 \| Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $21.99 | 2.4% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.34× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $20.18 | 2.2% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.34× |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $17.40 | 1.9% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $15.78 | 1.7% | 8 | 3.0 | 2.68× |
| [XM1014 \| Bone Machine (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-bone-machine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $14.19 | 1.6% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.34× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $12.56 | 1.4% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.34× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $10.86 | 1.2% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $10.28 | 1.1% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.34× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $9.58 | 1.1% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.34× |
| [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $8.26 | 0.9% | 6 | 3.0 | 2.01× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $6.92 | 0.8% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $5.89 | 0.6% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.67× |
| [Nova \| Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $5.35 | 0.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $4.89 | 0.5% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.76 | 0.2% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/fri13_hell/show`, 13 Nov, 02:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=fri13-hell)

[USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) [snikers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/snikers) $31.30 $1.76 0.06x 2026-11-13 01:37 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) [Chakmay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Chakmay) $31.30 $12.56 0.40x 2026-11-12 23:57 UTC

[UMP-45 | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) [Chakmay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Chakmay) $31.30 $45.44 1.45x 2026-11-12 23:57 UTC

[XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-bone-machine-minimal-wear) [Chakmay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Chakmay) $31.30 $14.19 0.45x 2026-11-12 23:56 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [ищудевушку](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B8%D1%89%D1%83%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%83%D1%88%D0%BA%D1%83) $31.30 $163 5.22x 2026-11-12 23:32 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [ищудевушку](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B8%D1%89%D1%83%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%83%D1%88%D0%BA%D1%83) $31.30 $33.76 1.08x 2026-11-12 23:32 UTC

[XM1014 | Bone Machine (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-bone-machine-minimal-wear) [ищудевушку](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%B8%D1%89%D1%83%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%83%D1%88%D0%BA%D1%83) $31.30 $14.19 0.45x 2026-11-12 23:32 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $31.30 $10.28 0.33x 2026-11-12 23:29 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $31.30 $65.08 2.08x 2026-11-12 23:28 UTC

[MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) [Fear is Near](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Fear%20is%20Near) $31.30 $8.26 0.26x 2026-11-12 23:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 17:28 UTC | $31.30 | 94.00% | 40 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% covert 13.3% classified 14.3% Immortal 0.6% Mil Spec Grade 6.8% milspec 4.4% mil spec 20.0% restricted 21.1% violet 3.2% blue 3.2% Legendary 3.2% rare 3.2% uncommon 3.2% Restricted 3.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt