---
title: "Fruit case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Fruit ($29.17) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.98% from 49 items with odds, observed 134.77% over 4 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fruit
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Fruit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fruit)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Fruit

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fruit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fruit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fruit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fruit?window=all)

Price · $29.17

Advertised RTP · 93.98% · EV $27.41 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 134.77% · 4 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 4 openings · below min

30 days · 4 openings · below min

since tracking started · 4 openings · below min

-0.5% 166.5% 333.5%

**Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fruit?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fruit?window=7d) | 4 | 134.77% ±198.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fruit) | 4 | 134.77% ±198.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fruit?window=all) | 4 | 134.77% ±198.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $35.7K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $15.6K | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $13.2K | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $13.1K | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $12.2K | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $7,120 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $7,065 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 500,000 | $5,029 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 142,857 | $2,540 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100,000 | $2,171 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $2,135 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) | 1 in 90,909 | $2,042 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 55,556 | $1,485 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $907 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 16,393 | $767 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,236 | $662 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $481 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 3,436 | $366 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 1,949 | $358 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,927 | $319 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 777 | $232 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 350 | $173 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 279 | $165 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 285 | $156 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-field-tested) | 1 in 172 | $131 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 228 | $125 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 146 | $115 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 104 | $96.43 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-factory-new) | 1 in 114 | $92.43 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $88.86 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sir Bloody Miami Darryl \| The Professionals agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/sir-bloody-miami-darryl-the-professionals) | 1 in 70 | $72.39 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $70.14 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $56.84 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $56.30 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $45.83 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $40.80 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $38.34 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $37.73 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $30.27 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $23.91 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $23.68 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $16.80 | 3.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $14.12 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $8.14 | 1.9% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Sleeping Potion (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $7.61 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Polysoup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $5.45 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $3.66 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $3.55 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $3.02 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/fruit/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=fruit)

[SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $29.17 $16.80 0.58x 2026-11-09 20:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) [raccoon\_legend](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/raccoon_legend) $29.17 $8.14 0.28x 2026-11-06 20:04 UTC

[AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-battle-scarred) [SvyatoSlowed](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/SvyatoSlowed) $29.17 $8.14 0.28x 2026-11-06 16:21 UTC

[AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $29.55 $125 4.22x 2026-11-05 06:00 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $29.17 | 93.98% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $29.55 | 92.77% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $29.55 | 93.38% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.6% legendary 0.0% covert 19.0% contraband 0.0% sunny 0.8% restricted 6.4% covert knife 2.0% #eb4b4b 0.3% Immortal 1.0% Classified 7.5% master 1.4% classified 1.5% Ancient 7.5% red 6.2% #d32ee6 6.4% Legendary 6.4% pink 6.5% Mythical 6.5% violet 6.6% blue 6.6% rare 6.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.98 on average: an expected loss of $6.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt