--- title: "Furia ewc case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Furia ewc ($4.36) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.88% from 42 items with odds, observed 102.39% over 86 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furia-ewc rendered: 2026-11-11T13:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Furia ewc](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furia-ewc) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Furia ewc A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furia-ewc?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furia-ewc?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furia-ewc) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furia-ewc?window=all) Price · $4.36 Advertised RTP · 93.88% · EV $4.09 from 42 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.39% · 86 openings, odds method Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 57.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 14 openings · below min 30 days · 86 openings · below min since tracking started · 86 openings · below min -0.5% 92.3% 185.0% **Small sample.** 86 openings and 19.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furia-ewc?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furia-ewc?window=7d) | 14 | 85.87% ±98.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furia-ewc) | 86 | 102.39% ±39.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furia-ewc?window=all) | 86 | 102.39% ±39.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 86 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $5,023 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $3,399 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $2,729 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $1,732 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $746 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500,000 | $705 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333,333 | $579 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 250,000 | $383 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 142,857 | $330 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $268 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 76,923 | $225 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 83,333 | $200 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 38,462 | $163 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 7,519 | $85.27 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,344 | $60.10 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,135 | $42.88 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 423 | $27.17 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 185 | $19.88 | 2.6% | 3 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 172 | $19.03 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 152 | $17.91 | 2.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 1 in 98 | $12.88 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [M4A4 \| Hellish (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-well-worn) | 1 in 76 | $11.34 | 3.6% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.67× | | [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-battle-scarred) | 1 in 68 | $10.70 | 3.9% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.15× | | [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $10.49 | 3.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× | | [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $7.04 | 4.5% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $6.80 | 4.1% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× | | [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $6.44 | 5.0% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $6.24 | 5.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× | | [SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-rapid-transit-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $6.20 | 4.9% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.08× | | [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $5.46 | 5.8% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.53× | | [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $5.06 | 5.7% | 7 | 4.0 | 1.76× | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $4.80 | 6.3% | 1 | 4.6 | 0.22× | | [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $4.36 | 6.3% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× | | [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $3.78 | 5.5% | 9 | 5.1 | 1.75× | | [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $3.53 | 5.2% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.55× | | [AWP \| Exothermic (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $2.50 | 3.8% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× | | [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $1.85 | 2.9% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.74× | | [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $1.76 | 2.7% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.92× | | [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $1.40 | 2.2% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.73× | | [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $1.07 | 1.7% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.42× | | [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.71 | 1.2% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.86× | | [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.38 | 0.7% | 5 | 6.1 | 0.82× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/furia_ewc/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=furia-ewc) [Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) [ay\_Boroda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ay_Boroda) $4.45 $0.71 0.16x 2026-11-05 10:26 UTC [Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) [ay\_Boroda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ay_Boroda) $4.45 $0.71 0.16x 2026-11-05 10:26 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-battle-scarred) [ay\_Boroda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ay_Boroda) $4.45 $1.40 0.31x 2026-11-05 10:26 UTC [SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-rapid-transit-factory-new) [ay\_Boroda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ay_Boroda) $4.45 $6.20 1.39x 2026-11-05 10:26 UTC [Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-battle-scarred) [ay\_Boroda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ay_Boroda) $4.45 $4.36 0.98x 2026-11-05 10:26 UTC [Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-battle-scarred) [ay\_Boroda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ay_Boroda) $4.45 $1.07 0.24x 2026-11-05 10:26 UTC [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) [ay\_Boroda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ay_Boroda) $4.45 $5.06 1.14x 2026-11-05 10:26 UTC [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) [ay\_Boroda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ay_Boroda) $4.45 $3.78 0.85x 2026-11-05 10:26 UTC [MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) [ay\_Boroda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ay_Boroda) $4.45 $3.53 0.79x 2026-11-05 10:25 UTC [M4A4 | Hellish (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-well-worn) [ay\_Boroda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ay_Boroda) $4.45 $11.34 2.55x 2026-11-05 10:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $4.36 | 93.88% | 42 | | 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.45 | 91.98% | 42 | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.45 | 94.01% | 42 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 3 6.5% legendary 0.0% classified 6.0% gold 0.0% covert 0.1% #d32ee6 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% epic 0.0% rare 0.8% pink 18.8% violet 19.2% uncommon 7.3% red 1.5% mil spec 2.6% restricted 14.9% Mythical 10.0% Legendary 6.0% Restricted 6.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.88 on average: an expected loss of $6.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt