---
title: "Furious fuel case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Furious fuel ($16.40) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.96% from 42 items with odds, observed 76.38% over 54 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furious-fuel
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Furious fuel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furious-fuel)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Furious fuel

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furious-fuel?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furious-fuel?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furious-fuel) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furious-fuel?window=all)

Price · $16.40

Advertised RTP · 93.96% · EV $15.41 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.38% · 54 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 40 openings · below min

30 days · 54 openings · below min

since tracking started · 54 openings · below min

34.5% 77.3% 120.0%

**Small sample.** 54 openings and 9.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furious-fuel?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furious-fuel?window=7d) | 40 | 77.26% ±42.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furious-fuel) | 54 | 76.38% ±36.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/furious-fuel?window=all) | 54 | 76.38% ±36.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 54 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $7,653 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $5,395 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $3,916 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $3,597 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166,667 | $1,522 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125,000 | $1,284 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,079 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83,333 | $1,009 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66,667 | $871 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 66,667 | $848 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 1 in 43,478 | $718 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 16,393 | $459 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 8,475 | $357 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) | 1 in 6,623 | $329 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,967 | $236 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,063 | $160 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-battle-scarred) | 1 in 612 | $123 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 245 | $93.74 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $68.23 | 3.3% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $58.74 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $48.53 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) | 1 in 73 | $46.47 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $41.55 | 4.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-battle-scarred) | 1 in 44 | $38.95 | 5.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $34.68 | 4.9% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $31.73 | 7.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Well-Worn) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $30.59 | 6.1% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $21.90 | 6.8% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.54× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $20.18 | 6.9% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $19.77 | 7.6% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $13.73 | 6.6% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $11.07 | 5.1% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $7.50 | 3.0% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $6.60 | 2.6% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $6.59 | 2.6% | 7 | 3.2 | 2.17× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $6.13 | 2.3% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× |
| [UMP-45 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $4.38 | 1.5% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $3.66 | 1.2% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $3.53 | 1.1% | 6 | 2.6 | 2.28× |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $2.50 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $2.28 | 0.6% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $2.24 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/furious_fuel/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=furious-fuel)

[★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-battle-scarred) [Зеленый 💚](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%97%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%F0%9F%92%9A) $16.40 $68.23 4.16x 2026-11-09 22:03 UTC

[UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $16.40 $4.38 0.27x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC

[MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $16.40 $6.13 0.37x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC

[MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $16.40 $3.53 0.22x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC

[AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $16.40 $6.59 0.40x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC

[AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-minimal-wear) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $16.40 $6.59 0.40x 2026-11-09 20:59 UTC

[MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $16.40 $3.53 0.22x 2026-11-08 19:31 UTC

[P250 | Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $16.40 $7.50 0.46x 2026-11-08 19:30 UTC

[P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-factory-new) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $16.40 $20.18 1.23x 2026-11-08 19:30 UTC

[AWP | Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $16.40 $21.90 1.34x 2026-11-08 19:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $16.40 | 93.96% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $16.72 | 92.16% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $16.72 | 95.06% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% epic 0.0% classified 11.6% sunny 0.0% Immortal 0.0% gold 1.8% legendary 0.0% rare 0.9% Ancient 3.2% red 5.0% Legendary 11.9% pink 10.8% uncommon 18.0% Mythical 7.1% #d32ee6 6.2% #d32ce6 6.0% Classified 4.8% restricted 4.4% #8847ff 8.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.96 on average: an expected loss of $6.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt