---
title: "G 3sg 1 case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "G 3sg 1 ($0.60) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.57% from 36 items with odds, observed 95.62% over 334 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/g3sg1
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [G 3sg 1](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/g3sg1)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · G 3sg 1

A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/g3sg1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/g3sg1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/g3sg1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/g3sg1?window=all)

Price · $0.60

Advertised RTP · 93.57% · EV $0.56 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.62% · 334 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 95.62% ±9.74 334 openings

30 days · 95.62% ±9.74 334 openings

since tracking started · 95.62% ±9.74 334 openings

69.0% 142.3% 215.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/g3sg1?window=24h) | 6 | 142.22% ±72.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/g3sg1?window=7d) | 334 | 95.62% ±9.74 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/g3sg1) | 334 | 95.62% ±9.74 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/g3sg1?window=all) | 334 | 95.62% ±9.74 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 382 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $137 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500,000 | $72.89 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333,333 | $46.05 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Violet Murano (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-violet-murano-factory-new) | 1 in 111,111 | $28.84 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 52,632 | $21.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 22,727 | $14.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| New Roots (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-new-roots-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,434 | $11.33 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Stinger (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,985 | $7.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,422 | $6.82 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Demeter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-demeter-field-tested) | 1 in 676 | $4.40 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-minimal-wear) | 1 in 301 | $3.34 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) | 1 in 163 | $2.58 | 2.8% | 7 | 2.3 | 2.99× |
| [G3SG1 \| Scavenger (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-factory-new) | 1 in 104 | $1.98 | 3.4% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× |
| [G3SG1 \| Murky (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-murky-factory-new) | 1 in 92 | $1.82 | 3.5% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.48× |
| [G3SG1 \| Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-digital-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $1.32 | 3.6% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.19× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.87 | 6.1% | 15 | 15.0 | 1.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $0.86 | 6.5% | 19 | 16.3 | 1.16× |
| [G3SG1 \| Murky (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-murky-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.76 | 6.4% | 22 | 18.2 | 1.21× |
| [G3SG1 \| Scavenger (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.75 | 7.3% | 18 | 20.8 | 0.86× |
| [G3SG1 \| Keeping Tabs (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.71 | 8.2% | 34 | 24.8 | 1.37× |
| [G3SG1 \| Ventilator (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ventilator-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $0.69 | 8.4% | 24 | 26.1 | 0.92× |
| [G3SG1 \| Desert Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.59 | 4.1% | 14 | 15.0 | 0.93× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.59 | 8.8% | 39 | 31.9 | 1.22× |
| [G3SG1 \| Scavenger (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.48 | 3.4% | 15 | 15.0 | 1.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.47 | 3.3% | 18 | 15.0 | 1.20× |
| [G3SG1 \| Jungle Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-jungle-dashed-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.45 | 3.2% | 16 | 15.0 | 1.06× |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.35 | 2.5% | 12 | 15.0 | 0.80× |
| [G3SG1 \| Ventilator (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ventilator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.33 | 2.3% | 11 | 15.0 | 0.73× |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.33 | 2.3% | 14 | 15.0 | 0.93× |
| [G3SG1 \| Ventilator (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ventilator-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.31 | 2.2% | 10 | 15.0 | 0.66× |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.26 | 1.8% | 14 | 15.0 | 0.93× |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.25 | 1.8% | 11 | 15.0 | 0.73× |
| [G3SG1 \| VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.15 | 1.1% | 16 | 15.0 | 1.06× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.14 | 1.0% | 17 | 15.0 | 1.13× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.10 | 0.7% | 13 | 15.0 | 0.86× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.06 | 0.4% | 12 | 15.0 | 0.80× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/g3sg1/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=g3sg1)

[G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-minimal-wear) [Miks34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Miks34) $0.60 $0.06 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-digital-mesh-minimal-wear) [Miks34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Miks34) $0.60 $1.32 2.20x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-factory-new) [Miks34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Miks34) $0.60 $1.98 3.30x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-factory-new) [Miks34](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Miks34) $0.60 $0.86 1.43x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-minimal-wear) [ДРУЖИЩЕ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%94%D0%A0%D0%A3%D0%96%D0%98%D0%A9%D0%95) $0.60 $0.75 1.25x 2026-11-11 05:33 UTC

[G3SG1 | VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-factory-new) [ЧАВО](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A7%D0%90%D0%92%D0%9E) $0.60 $0.15 0.25x 2026-11-10 16:12 UTC

[G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-field-tested) [Ярослав Вахрушев](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%AF%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B2%20%D0%92%D0%B0%D1%85%D1%80%D1%83%D1%88%D0%B5%D0%B2) $0.60 $0.59 0.98x 2026-11-10 07:53 UTC

[G3SG1 | Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-field-tested) [Ярослав Вахрушев](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%AF%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B2%20%D0%92%D0%B0%D1%85%D1%80%D1%83%D1%88%D0%B5%D0%B2) $0.60 $0.10 0.17x 2026-11-10 07:53 UTC

[G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-minimal-wear) [Xlor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Xlor) $0.60 $0.06 0.10x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC

[G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-field-tested) [Xlor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Xlor) $0.60 $0.26 0.43x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $0.60 | 93.57% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.60 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 1.5% industrial 11.8% Industrial Grade 0.0% classified 0.0% #4b69ff 3.9% other 0.0% blue 12.2% violet 7.9% consumer 4.0% mil spec 5.8% restricted 6.7% milspec 12.6% Mil Spec 6.5% Rare 10.8% Consumer Grade 3.9% Mythical 8.3% #87c7ff 3.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.57 on average: an expected loss of $6.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt