---
title: "Gammadoppler case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Gammadoppler ($214.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.71% from 30 items with odds, observed 99.80% over 33 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gammadoppler
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Gammadoppler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gammadoppler)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Gammadoppler

A case on CSGORUN (patterns2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gammadoppler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gammadoppler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gammadoppler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gammadoppler?window=all)

Price · $214.99

Advertised RTP · 94.71% · EV $203.62 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 99.80% · 33 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 30.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 54.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 33 openings · below min

30 days · 33 openings · below min

since tracking started · 33 openings · below min

9.0% 83.8% 158.5%

**Small sample.** 33 openings and 10.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gammadoppler?window=24h) | 4 | 83.69% ±73.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gammadoppler?window=7d) | 33 | 99.80% ±25.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gammadoppler) | 33 | 99.80% ±25.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gammadoppler?window=all) | 33 | 99.80% ±25.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 3,953 | $2,338 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 1,786 | $1,870 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,005 | $1,506 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 516 | $1,169 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 487 | $1,163 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 142 | $754 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 142 | $732 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 86 | $593 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $511 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 25 | $393 | 7.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $381 | 4.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 41 | $381 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $340 | 7.7% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $257 | 6.8% | 7 | 1.8 | 3.93× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 15 | $252 | 8.2% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.38× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · sunny · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 14 | $228 | 8.1% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.27× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 12 | $227 | 9.2% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 24 | $198 | 4.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 24 | $180 | 3.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $125 | 2.6% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.18× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) weapon · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 24 | $108 | 2.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 24 | $95.31 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 24 | $82.29 | 1.7% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 24 | $81.12 | 1.7% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 2) weapon · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-2) | 1 in 24 | $80.93 | 1.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $76.97 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-1) | 1 in 24 | $70.91 | 1.5% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 3) weapon · red · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-3) | 1 in 24 | $70.85 | 1.5% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $69.74 | 1.4% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 4) weapon · red · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-4) | 1 in 24 | $69.74 | 1.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/gammadoppler/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $215 $732 3.41x 2026-11-06 15:27 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=gammadoppler)

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [ĐⱤɆɎ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%C4%90%E2%B1%A4%C9%86%C9%8E) $215 $340 1.58x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · sunny · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [ĐⱤɆɎ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%C4%90%E2%B1%A4%C9%86%C9%8E) $215 $228 1.06x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 2) weapon · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-2) [ĐⱤɆɎ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%C4%90%E2%B1%A4%C9%86%C9%8E) $215 $80.93 0.38x 2026-11-11 00:59 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-1) [ĐⱤɆɎ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%C4%90%E2%B1%A4%C9%86%C9%8E) $215 $70.91 0.33x 2026-11-11 00:59 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $215 $252 1.17x 2026-11-07 19:12 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $215 $125 0.58x 2026-11-07 19:12 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $215 $257 1.20x 2026-11-07 19:11 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $215 $340 1.58x 2026-11-07 19:11 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) weapon · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $215 $108 0.50x 2026-11-06 19:13 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 3) weapon · red · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-3) [𝗞𝗨$𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗥](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%97%A8%24%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A5) $215 $70.85 0.33x 2026-11-06 19:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $215 | 94.71% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $215 | 94.00% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 53.0% #ffd700 6.8% covert knife 9.5% gold 1.5% #EB4B4B 5.4% sunny 7.2% Covert 4.2% red 8.3% #eb4b4b 4.2% best hit $732 (3.41x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.71 on average: an expected loss of $5.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt