---
title: "Gensyxa case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Gensyxa ($10.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.20% from 42 items with odds, observed 94.82% over 687 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gensyxa
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:43Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Gensyxa](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gensyxa)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Gensyxa

A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gensyxa?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gensyxa?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gensyxa) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gensyxa?window=all)

Price · $10.99

Advertised RTP · 93.20% · EV $10.24 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.82% · 687 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 98.62% ±14.99 142 openings

7 days · 93.76% ±8.12 484 openings

30 days · 94.82% ±6.83 687 openings

since tracking started · 94.82% ±6.83 687 openings

83.0% 98.8% 114.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gensyxa?window=24h) | 142 | 98.62% ±15.0 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gensyxa?window=7d) | 484 | 93.76% ±8.12 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gensyxa) | 687 | 94.82% ±6.83 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gensyxa?window=all) | 687 | 94.82% ±6.83 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 687 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 500,000 | $714 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $642 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125,000 | $354 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 41,667 | $252 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 16,667 | $184 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 7,576 | $151 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 3,205 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 1,209 | $80.52 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,208 | $78.66 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 368 | $54.44 | 1.4% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.07× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 320 | $53.11 | 1.6% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.40× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 302 | $49.57 | 1.6% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 244 | $46.66 | 1.9% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.78× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 224 | $45.68 | 2.0% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.30× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 188 | $40.76 | 2.1% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.37× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 148 | $37.73 | 2.5% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.29× |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 145 | $37.31 | 2.5% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.84× |
| [M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 247 | $32.05 | 1.3% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.80× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $25.99 | 2.6% | 11 | 6.9 | 1.58× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $23.84 | 3.7% | 13 | 11.0 | 1.19× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $23.46 | 3.2% | 10 | 9.5 | 1.05× |
| [G3SG1 \| Violet Murano (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-violet-murano-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $22.37 | 5.1% | 10 | 15.9 | 0.63× |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $19.80 | 5.2% | 17 | 18.4 | 0.93× |
| [M249 \| Blizzard Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $14.00 | 4.5% | 24 | 22.7 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $13.47 | 7.3% | 31 | 38.0 | 0.82× |
| [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $12.01 | 8.2% | 56 | 48.1 | 1.16× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $11.42 | 9.3% | 53 | 57.0 | 0.93× |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $10.24 | 7.8% | 58 | 53.8 | 1.08× |
| [P2000 \| Granite Marbleized (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $9.71 | 3.7% | 21 | 26.9 | 0.78× |
| [Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $9.21 | 3.5% | 25 | 26.9 | 0.93× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $7.81 | 3.0% | 31 | 26.9 | 1.15× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $5.60 | 2.1% | 24 | 26.9 | 0.89× |
| [UMP-45 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $4.38 | 1.7% | 20 | 26.9 | 0.74× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $4.11 | 1.6% | 29 | 26.9 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $4.00 | 1.5% | 29 | 26.9 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $3.67 | 1.4% | 23 | 26.9 | 0.86× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $3.29 | 1.3% | 33 | 26.9 | 1.23× |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $2.79 | 1.1% | 37 | 26.9 | 1.38× |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $2.39 | 0.9% | 23 | 26.9 | 0.86× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $2.32 | 0.9% | 19 | 26.9 | 0.71× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $2.29 | 0.9% | 27 | 26.9 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $2.01 | 0.8% | 28 | 26.9 | 1.04× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/gensyxa/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=gensyxa)

[Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $10.99 $2.01 0.18x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $10.99 $4.00 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $10.99 $12.01 1.09x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $10.99 $9.21 0.84x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $10.99 $10.24 0.93x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-minimal-wear) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $10.99 $11.42 1.04x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $10.99 $5.60 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $10.99 $4.11 0.37x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $10.99 $2.79 0.25x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC

[AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-field-tested) [sh1rox\`](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/sh1rox%60) $10.99 $4.00 0.36x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $10.99 | 93.20% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.99 | 93.70% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.7% extraordinary 0.3% Immortal 0.0% Covert 0.3% restricted 23.1% Ancient 0.7% mil spec 9.6% Rare 7.4% classified 1.0% industrial 11.1% pink 5.5% #4b69ff 3.9% Legendary 11.7% violet 3.9% Uncommon 3.9% blue 3.9% Mythical 11.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.20 on average: an expected loss of $6.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt