--- title: "Glock case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Glock ($1.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.33% from 36 items with odds, observed 99.35% over 245 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glock rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Glock](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glock) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Glock A case on CSGORUN (armory2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glock?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glock?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glock) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glock?window=all) Price · $1.49 Advertised RTP · 92.33% · EV $1.38 from 36 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.35% · 245 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 28.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 56.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 100.94% ±14.94 176 openings 7 days · 99.35% ±12.67 245 openings 30 days · 99.35% ±12.67 245 openings since tracking started · 99.35% ±12.67 245 openings 85.5% 101.0% 116.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glock?window=24h) | 176 | 100.94% ±14.9 | +1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glock?window=7d) | 245 | 99.35% ±12.7 | +1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glock) | 245 | 99.35% ±12.7 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glock?window=all) | 245 | 99.35% ±12.7 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 319 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $258 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 333,333 | $145 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-minimal-wear) | 1 in 142,857 | $105 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) | 1 in 83,333 | $84.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-factory-new) | 1 in 26,316 | $47.21 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-factory-new) | 1 in 11,236 | $29.62 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 4,444 | $23.46 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) | 1 in 1,751 | $18.04 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-field-tested) | 1 in 1,027 | $14.10 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 419 | $10.12 | 1.8% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 221 | $7.71 | 2.5% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× | | [Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-factory-new) | 1 in 131 | $5.74 | 3.2% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.82× | | [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $4.67 | 4.0% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $3.67 | 4.7% | 2 | 5.6 | 0.36× | | [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $3.02 | 5.6% | 5 | 8.1 | 0.62× | | [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $2.70 | 7.1% | 14 | 11.6 | 1.21× | | [Glock-18 \| Red Tire (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-red-tire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $2.48 | 7.8% | 17 | 13.9 | 1.23× | | [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $1.96 | 7.9% | 17 | 17.6 | 0.96× | | [Glock-18 \| Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1.75 | 9.6% | 25 | 24.0 | 1.04× | | [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1.61 | 9.0% | 24 | 24.5 | 0.98× | | [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $1.60 | 9.4% | 35 | 25.8 | 1.36× | | [Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $1.17 | 3.2% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $1.15 | 3.1% | 9 | 11.9 | 0.76× | | [Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $1.01 | 2.7% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Green Line (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-green-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.93 | 2.5% | 14 | 11.9 | 1.17× | | [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.71 | 1.9% | 10 | 11.9 | 0.84× | | [Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.69 | 1.9% | 17 | 11.9 | 1.43× | | [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.66 | 1.8% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $0.49 | 1.3% | 11 | 11.9 | 0.92× | | [Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.45 | 1.2% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.39 | 1.1% | 16 | 11.9 | 1.34× | | [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.37 | 1.0% | 11 | 11.9 | 0.92× | | [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.31 | 0.8% | 8 | 11.9 | 0.67× | | [Glock-18 \| Ocean Topo (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $0.31 | 0.8% | 8 | 11.9 | 0.67× | | [Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.29 | 0.8% | 7 | 11.9 | 0.59× | | [Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.17 | 0.5% | 11 | 11.9 | 0.92× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/glock/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=glock) [Glock-18 | Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) [Пицот](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D0%B8%D1%86%D0%BE%D1%82) $1.49 $1.60 1.07x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Glock-18 | Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) [Андрей Вернер](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%92%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80) $1.49 $1.60 1.07x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-minimal-wear) [Андрей Вернер](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%92%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80) $1.49 $0.45 0.30x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-factory-new) [Андрей Вернер](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%92%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80) $1.49 $0.49 0.33x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-minimal-wear) [Андрей Вернер](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%92%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80) $1.49 $0.66 0.44x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-minimal-wear) [Андрей Вернер](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%92%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80) $1.49 $1.75 1.17x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-minimal-wear) [Андрей Вернер](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%92%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80) $1.49 $1.75 1.17x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [Glock-18 | Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) [Андрей Вернер](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%92%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80) $1.49 $1.60 1.07x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-factory-new) [Андрей Вернер](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%92%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80) $1.49 $1.17 0.79x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [Андрей Вернер](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9%20%D0%92%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80) $1.49 $1.15 0.77x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $1.49 | 92.33% | 36 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.49 | 94.00% | 36 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 3.7% industrial 0.0% covert 0.0% rare 0.1% violet 7.5% restricted 3.7% mil spec 17.2% Legendary 2.0% pink 0.5% milspec 6.3% Uncommon 8.1% Mythical 16.8% #8847ff 8.1% blue 3.7% Rare 18.7% common 3.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.33 on average: an expected loss of $7.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt