---
title: "Glove case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Glove ($3.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.93% from 36 items with odds, observed 101.77% over 93 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glove
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Glove](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glove)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Glove

A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glove?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glove?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glove) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glove?window=all)

Price · $3.49

Advertised RTP · 89.93% · EV $3.14 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 101.77% · 93 openings, sample method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 27.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 58.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 93 openings · below min

30 days · 93 openings · below min

since tracking started · 93 openings · below min

-0.5% 128.3% 257.0%

**Small sample.** 93 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glove?window=24h) | 1 | 100.29% ±156.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glove?window=7d) | 93 | 101.77% ±28.7 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glove) | 93 | 101.77% ±28.7 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/glove?window=all) | 93 | 101.77% ±28.7 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 93 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $552 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $332 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 250,000 | $222 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 250,000 | $220 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 111,111 | $128 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 66,667 | $107 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) | 1 in 6,452 | $49.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-factory-new) | 1 in 4,608 | $42.10 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,692 | $31.71 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-factory-new) | 1 in 898 | $23.20 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) | 1 in 215 | $14.88 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $13.33 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-factory-new) | 1 in 116 | $11.19 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $7.80 | 3.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $7.44 | 4.2% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $5.66 | 5.5% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× |
| [MP9 \| Sand Scale (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-scale-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $5.65 | 5.1% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $4.28 | 5.9% | 4 | 4.0 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $4.12 | 8.0% | 8 | 5.7 | 1.41× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $4.11 | 7.7% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.74× |
| [MAG-7 \| Sonar (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sonar-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $3.74 | 7.2% | 9 | 5.6 | 1.60× |
| [P2000 \| Turf (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $3.50 | 9.2% | 5 | 7.7 | 0.65× |
| [G3SG1 \| Stinger (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $3.35 | 4.4% | 7 | 3.9 | 1.81× |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $3.34 | 4.4% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $3.32 | 4.4% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.30× |
| [Nova \| Gila (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-gila-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $3.28 | 4.3% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $3.23 | 4.3% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.56× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $2.58 | 3.4% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $1.18 | 1.6% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× |
| [MAG-7 \| Sonar (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sonar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $1.07 | 1.4% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.30× |
| [MP9 \| Sand Scale (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-scale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.93 | 1.2% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.56× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.82 | 1.1% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.63 | 0.8% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.04× |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.62 | 0.8% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.52× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.51 | 0.7% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.52× |
| [MP9 \| Sand Scale (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-scale-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.44 | 0.6% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/glove/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=glove)

[P2000 | Turf (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-minimal-wear) [QQHA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/QQHA) $3.49 $3.50 1.00x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC

[Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-field-tested) [Жук Пчела](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%96%D1%83%D0%BA%20%D0%9F%D1%87%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B0) $3.49 $0.62 0.18x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC

[USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) [Жук Пчела](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%96%D1%83%D0%BA%20%D0%9F%D1%87%D0%B5%D0%BB%D0%B0) $3.49 $3.32 0.95x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC

[Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-gila-minimal-wear) [LunarZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/LunarZ) $3.49 $3.28 0.94x 2026-11-08 13:33 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Scale (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-scale-field-tested) [ERG](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ERG) $3.49 $0.44 0.13x 2026-11-06 23:36 UTC

[M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-field-tested) [ERG](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/ERG) $3.49 $4.12 1.18x 2026-11-06 23:36 UTC

[MP7 | Cirrus (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-minimal-wear) [°PĤẪÑŤỞМ°](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%C2%B0P%C4%A4%E1%BA%AA%C3%91%C5%A4%E1%BB%9E%D0%9C%C2%B0) $3.49 $2.58 0.74x 2026-11-06 16:55 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ironwork (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-minimal-wear) [°PĤẪÑŤỞМ°](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%C2%B0P%C4%A4%E1%BA%AA%C3%91%C5%A4%E1%BB%9E%D0%9C%C2%B0) $3.49 $3.23 0.93x 2026-11-06 16:55 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $3.49 $1.01 0.29x 2026-11-05 19:49 UTC

[M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-field-tested) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $3.49 $4.13 1.18x 2026-11-05 19:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $3.49 | 89.93% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $3.49 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.0% Legendary 0.0% Mythical 6.0% classified 0.1% Rare 31.7% mil spec 12.6% restricted 8.7% #8847ff 6.1% violet 10.0% #4b69ff 20.7% blue 4.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.93 on average: an expected loss of $10.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt