--- title: "Godsmonsters case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Godsmonsters ($147.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.24% from 20 items with odds, observed 92.51% over 7 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/godsmonsters rendered: 2026-11-11T18:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Godsmonsters](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/godsmonsters) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Godsmonsters A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/godsmonsters?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/godsmonsters?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/godsmonsters) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/godsmonsters?window=all) Price · $147.99 Advertised RTP · 92.24% · EV $136.51 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.51% · 7 openings, sample method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 7 openings · below min since tracking started · 7 openings · below min 20.0% 92.5% 165.0% **Small sample.** 7 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/godsmonsters?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/godsmonsters?window=7d) | 7 | 92.51% ±71.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/godsmonsters) | 7 | 92.51% ±71.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/godsmonsters?window=all) | 7 | 92.51% ±71.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $5,910 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,865 | $3,252 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 1,092 | $2,218 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 347 | $1,382 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 218 | $1,231 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 227 | $1,152 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $534 | 8.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $431 | 8.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $334 | 10.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 11.9% | $160 | 13.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 11.7% | $113 | 9.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 10.6% | $108 | 8.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Minotaur's Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-factory-new) | 11.0% | $101 | 8.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Minotaur's Labyrinth (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-field-tested) | 10.0% | $92.75 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Minotaur's Labyrinth (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $88.15 | 6.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $49.65 | 2.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $27.38 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $25.83 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $19.56 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M249 \| Shipping Forecast (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-shipping-forecast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $14.95 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/godsmonsters/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=godsmonsters) [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $148 $120 0.81x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [Tec-9 | Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $148 $25.50 0.17x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $148 $103 0.70x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [UMP-45 | Minotaur's Labyrinth (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-minimal-wear) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $148 $90.26 0.61x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $148 $454 3.07x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [UMP-45 | Minotaur's Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-factory-new) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $148 $109 0.73x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $148 $57.53 0.39x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $148 | 92.24% | 20 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $148 | 94.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% classified 1.2% restricted 9.2% mil spec 65.1% industrial 19.8% Industrial Grade 4.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.24 on average: an expected loss of $7.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt