---
title: "Helpbot tg case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Helpbot tg ($0.15) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 100.01% from 17 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/helpbot-tg
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Helpbot tg](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/helpbot-tg)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Helpbot tg

A case on CSGORUN (freecases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/helpbot-tg?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/helpbot-tg?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/helpbot-tg) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/helpbot-tg?window=all)

Price · $0.15

Advertised RTP · 100.01% · EV $0.15 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 79.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 27.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/helpbot-tg?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/helpbot-tg?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/helpbot-tg) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/helpbot-tg?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,667 | $53.38 | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,278 | $40.92 | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.22 | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.18 | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.14 | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.13 | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Midnight Paintover (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.12 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Tiger Stencil (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.12 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.11 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $0.09 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.07 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.06 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ocean Topo (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.06 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Irezumi (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.06 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Honey Paisley (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-honey-paisley-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.03 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Facility Sketch (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.03 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Commando Company (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.01 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/helpbot_tg/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=helpbot-tg)

[USP-S | PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) [qosimovamuxlisa91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/qosimovamuxlisa91) $0.15 $0.22 1.47x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[USP-S | PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) [The\_Shade](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/The_Shade) $0.15 $0.22 1.47x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-minimal-wear) [Степан Коршунов](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A1%D1%82%D0%B5%D0%BF%D0%B0%D0%BD%20%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D1%88%D1%83%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.15 $0.13 0.87x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) [d1agnozzzik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/d1agnozzzik) $0.15 $0.14 0.93x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[USP-S | PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) [Фригидная](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%A4%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%B3%D0%B8%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%B0%D1%8F) $0.15 $0.22 1.47x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[USP-S | PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) [Представляешь?](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B4%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%B2%D0%BB%D1%8F%D0%B5%D1%88%D1%8C%3F) $0.15 $0.22 1.47x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-factory-new) [psychokillua2](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/psychokillua2) $0.15 $0.12 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Tilted (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-field-tested) [kamashka\_1999](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/kamashka_1999) $0.15 $0.18 1.20x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) [❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%E2%9D%A4) $0.15 $0.14 0.93x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Tilted (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-field-tested) [\_INSPIRATOR\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/_INSPIRATOR_) $0.15 $0.18 1.20x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.15 | 100.01% | 17 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.15 | 95.83% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 0.0% covert 0.0% #4b69ff 13.8% #5e98d9 9.1% industrial 23.6% milspec 9.1% Uncommon 21.7% #b0c3d9 6.8% #87c7ff 4.3% Common 3.8% consumer 3.8% common 3.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.01 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt