---
title: "Homohomo case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Homohomo ($0.61) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.96% from 49 items with odds, observed 87.38% over 1,207 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/homohomo
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Homohomo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/homohomo)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Homohomo

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/homohomo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/homohomo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/homohomo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/homohomo?window=all)

Price · $0.61

Advertised RTP · 93.96% · EV $0.57 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.38% · 1,207 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 66 openings · below min

7 days · 88.42% ±13.30 1,046 openings

30 days · 87.38% ±12.37 1,207 openings

since tracking started · 87.38% ±12.37 1,207 openings

44.5% 98.5% 152.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/homohomo?window=24h) | 66 | 98.56% ±53.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/homohomo?window=7d) | 1,046 | 88.42% ±13.3 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/homohomo) | 1,207 | 87.38% ±12.4 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/homohomo?window=all) | 1,207 | 87.38% ±12.4 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,207 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $629 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $582 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $388 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $247 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 500,000 | $171 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-well-worn) | 1 in 166,667 | $85.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $70.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125,000 | $70.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 111,111 | $67.33 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 90,909 | $59.19 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76,923 | $53.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Holo) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 66,667 | $47.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 58,824 | $45.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 35,714 | $33.36 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37,037 | $32.23 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,579 | $14.19 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P90 \| Attack Vector (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-factory-new) | 1 in 7,576 | $13.10 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [XM1014 \| VariCamo Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-varicamo-blue-well-worn) | 1 in 6,173 | $12.94 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-well-worn) | 1 in 1,142 | $6.29 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.89× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Phoenix Marker (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-phoenix-marker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 942 | $5.15 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 660 | $5.09 | 1.3% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 510 | $4.83 | 1.7% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 196 | $2.91 | 2.6% | 4 | 6.1 | 0.65× |
| [Souvenir SCAR-20 \| Storm (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-scar-20-storm-well-worn) | 1 in 145 | $2.59 | 3.1% | 7 | 8.3 | 0.84× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Wild Berry (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $1.87 | 3.4% | 9 | 12.5 | 0.72× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $1.85 | 4.0% | 10 | 14.8 | 0.68× |
| [Sticker \| Winding Scorch (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winding-scorch-foil) | 1 in 59 | $1.50 | 4.5% | 17 | 20.6 | 0.83× |
| [UMP-45 \| Indigo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-indigo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $1.44 | 3.1% | 18 | 14.9 | 1.21× |
| [FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-yeti-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $1.37 | 5.3% | 30 | 27.0 | 1.11× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $1.12 | 5.8% | 28 | 35.6 | 0.79× |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $1.06 | 4.4% | 24 | 28.8 | 0.83× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.95 | 5.6% | 47 | 40.4 | 1.16× |
| [SSG 08 \| Zeno (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.92 | 6.6% | 46 | 50.0 | 0.92× |
| [MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cobalt-core-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $0.90 | 4.6% | 31 | 35.1 | 0.88× |
| [MP9 \| Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-cobalt-paisley-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.85 | 7.3% | 68 | 59.8 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Downtown (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-downtown-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.61 | 7.1% | 91 | 80.4 | 1.13× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $0.58 | 6.8% | 86 | 81.4 | 1.06× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Assault (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $0.32 | 3.6% | 61 | 77.0 | 0.79× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ocean Topo (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $0.31 | 3.2% | 74 | 70.5 | 1.05× |
| [Nova \| Windblown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.28 | 2.8% | 61 | 68.8 | 0.89× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Electric Blue (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $0.25 | 2.4% | 65 | 65.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Liquidation (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-liquidation-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $0.21 | 1.9% | 71 | 62.9 | 1.13× |
| [SG 553 \| Aloha (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.21 | 2.1% | 62 | 68.2 | 0.91× |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $0.10 | 0.7% | 62 | 48.7 | 1.27× |
| [Tec-9 \| Blue Blast (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-blast-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $0.09 | 0.7% | 50 | 51.8 | 0.97× |
| [XM1014 \| Gum Wall Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-gum-wall-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $0.05 | 0.3% | 34 | 39.7 | 0.86× |
| [M4A4 \| Naval Shred Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-naval-shred-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.05 | 0.3% | 55 | 44.9 | 1.23× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.05 | 0.3% | 53 | 46.9 | 1.13× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Sky Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $0.03 | 0.2% | 37 | 39.7 | 0.93× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/homohomo/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=homohomo)

[Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-minimal-wear) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.61 $0.28 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-downtown-field-tested) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.61 $0.61 1.00x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-factory-new) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.61 $0.31 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-minimal-wear) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.61 $0.28 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-factory-new) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.61 $0.31 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-battle-scarred) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.61 $0.10 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-well-worn) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.61 $0.03 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-yeti-camo-factory-new) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.61 $1.37 2.25x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-minimal-wear) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.61 $0.28 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Assault (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-well-worn) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.61 $0.32 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.61 | 93.96% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.62 | 92.45% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.62 | 91.55% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 4.0% covert knife 0.0% covert 0.0% epic 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% rare 0.0% classified 0.0% red 0.0% Mythical 0.0% Ancient 0.0% Mil Spec Grade 0.0% uncommon 5.5% Rare 5.0% Industrial Grade 0.1% pink 0.2% violet 7.4% other 0.7% milspec 10.8% mil spec 21.5% #d32ce6 1.7% Consumer Grade 1.2% #4b69ff 2.2% blue 3.0% restricted 6.7% Uncommon 5.8% Mil Spec 5.7% #b0c3d9 4.3% #5e98d9 10.9% common 3.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.96 on average: an expected loss of $6.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt