---
title: "Huntsman case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Huntsman ($4.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.35% from 36 items with odds, observed 92.06% over 181 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsman
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Huntsman](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsman)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Huntsman

A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsman?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsman?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsman) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsman?window=all)

Price · $4.49

Advertised RTP · 92.35% · EV $4.15 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.06% · 181 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 27.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 92.06% ±14.25 181 openings

30 days · 92.06% ±14.25 181 openings

since tracking started · 92.06% ±14.25 181 openings

77.0% 92.0% 107.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsman?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsman?window=7d) | 181 | 92.06% ±14.2 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsman) | 181 | 92.06% ±14.2 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsman?window=all) | 181 | 92.06% ±14.2 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 266 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 500,000 | $538 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 333,333 | $475 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200,000 | $371 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 62,500 | $180 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31,250 | $138 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15,152 | $106 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 6,329 | $78.71 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 2,577 | $53.58 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 944 | $40.25 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 565 | $33.70 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 283 | $24.67 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 219 | $23.54 | 2.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $13.73 | 4.3% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $12.62 | 5.0% | 8 | 4.3 | 1.85× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $9.17 | 6.5% | 4 | 7.8 | 0.51× |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $8.95 | 5.0% | 4 | 6.2 | 0.65× |
| [XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $6.46 | 8.7% | 28 | 14.9 | 1.88× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $5.83 | 7.6% | 7 | 14.4 | 0.48× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $5.68 | 9.8% | 13 | 18.9 | 0.69× |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $5.32 | 10.1% | 26 | 20.8 | 1.25× |
| [Galil AR \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $4.23 | 8.5% | 34 | 22.2 | 1.53× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Retribution (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-retribution-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $3.80 | 3.4% | 12 | 10.0 | 1.20× |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $3.42 | 3.1% | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $3.32 | 3.0% | 7 | 10.0 | 0.70× |
| [Galil AR \| Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $2.69 | 2.4% | 15 | 10.0 | 1.50× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $2.48 | 2.2% | 12 | 10.0 | 1.20× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $2.23 | 2.0% | 7 | 10.0 | 0.70× |
| [P2000 \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $1.70 | 1.5% | 13 | 10.0 | 1.30× |
| [Galil AR \| Kami (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $1.54 | 1.4% | 7 | 10.0 | 0.70× |
| [SSG 08 \| Slashed (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $1.37 | 1.2% | 13 | 10.0 | 1.30× |
| [P90 \| Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $1.25 | 1.1% | 7 | 10.0 | 0.70× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $1.18 | 1.1% | 12 | 10.0 | 1.20× |
| [P90 \| Module (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $1.08 | 1.0% | 8 | 10.0 | 0.80× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.99 | 0.9% | 5 | 10.0 | 0.50× |
| [P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.98 | 0.9% | 5 | 10.0 | 0.50× |
| [P2000 \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.87 | 0.8% | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/huntsman/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=huntsman)

[SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) [g4marj0ba](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/g4marj0ba) $4.49 $1.37 0.31x 2026-11-10 01:13 UTC

[XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) [g4marj0ba](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/g4marj0ba) $4.49 $6.46 1.44x 2026-11-10 01:13 UTC

[P2000 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-field-tested) [g4marj0ba](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/g4marj0ba) $4.49 $0.87 0.19x 2026-11-10 01:13 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Twist (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-field-tested) [g4marj0ba](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/g4marj0ba) $4.49 $0.99 0.22x 2026-11-10 01:13 UTC

[P2000 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-field-tested) [Nait-to](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Nait-to) $4.49 $0.87 0.19x 2026-11-09 07:37 UTC

[MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-factory-new) [uu.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/uu.) $4.49 $8.95 1.99x 2026-11-08 20:39 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Retribution (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-retribution-factory-new) [xuesos](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/xuesos) $4.49 $3.80 0.85x 2026-11-07 20:32 UTC

[AUG | Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) [Molodoy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Molodoy) $4.49 $5.83 1.30x 2026-11-07 14:36 UTC

[Tec-9 | Isaac (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-minimal-wear) [Molodoy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Molodoy) $4.49 $5.32 1.18x 2026-11-07 14:36 UTC

[P90 | Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) [Molodoy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Molodoy) $4.49 $1.25 0.28x 2026-11-07 14:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $4.49 | 92.35% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $4.49 | 94.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% Covert 0.0% covert knife 0.0% classified 0.9% Ancient 0.2% mil spec 48.3% restricted 14.0% violet 2.3% #8847ff 7.1% #4b69ff 15.9% Mil Spec Grade 3.8% Rare 7.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.35 on average: an expected loss of $7.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt