---
title: "Huntsmanknife case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Huntsmanknife ($104.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.63% from 30 items with odds, observed 150.71% over 2 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsmanknife
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Huntsmanknife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsmanknife)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Huntsmanknife

A case on CSGORUN (knives2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsmanknife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsmanknife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsmanknife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsmanknife?window=all)

Price · $104.99

Advertised RTP · 93.63% · EV $98.30 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 150.71% · 2 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 32.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 2 openings · below min

30 days · 2 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2 openings · below min

69.0% 150.8% 232.5%

**Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsmanknife?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsmanknife?window=7d) | 2 | 150.71% ±80.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsmanknife) | 2 | 150.71% ±80.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/huntsmanknife?window=all) | 2 | 150.71% ±80.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 4,348 | $913 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 3,067 | $827 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 934 | $590 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 548 | $497 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 361 | $413 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 236 | $352 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $288 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 109 | $274 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 77 | $227 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $216 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $168 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $159 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $158 | 4.6% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $144 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $129 | 7.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $113 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $97.77 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $89.03 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $71.35 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $68.71 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $63.79 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $63.15 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $61.47 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $60.63 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $59.50 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $58.42 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $54.97 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $53.80 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $53.58 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $52.20 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/huntsmanknife/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=huntsmanknife)

[★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) [DoomSIayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/DoomSIayers) $105 $158 1.51x 2026-11-09 09:26 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) [Pivchik11](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Pivchik11) $105 $158 1.51x 2026-11-08 00:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $105 | 93.63% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $105 | 94.00% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 56.5% covert knife 9.4% #ffd700 8.0% sunny 12.3% rare 4.6% Immortal 4.6% Covert 4.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.63 on average: an expected loss of $6.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt