--- title: "Hydra case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hydra ($33.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.99% from 38 items with odds, observed 72.09% over 42 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/hydra rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Hydra](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/hydra) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Hydra A case on CSGORUN (coll2026), first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/hydra?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/hydra?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/hydra) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/hydra?window=all) Price · $33.99 Advertised RTP · 91.99% · EV $31.27 from 38 items Observed RTP, 30d · 72.09% · 42 openings, sample method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 64.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 42 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min 57.0% 74.8% 92.5% **Small sample.** 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/hydra?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/hydra?window=7d) | 42 | 72.09% ±14.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/hydra) | 42 | 72.09% ±14.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/hydra?window=all) | 42 | 72.09% ±14.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) | 1 in 250,000 | $2,034 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 125,000 | $1,456 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66,667 | $1,099 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) | 1 in 28,571 | $1,095 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $534 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,128 | $468 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 2,475 | $347 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 870 | $244 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 642 | $238 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-field-tested) | 1 in 379 | $184 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 205 | $141 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 148 | $121 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 76 | $87.83 | 3.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $80.07 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $77.88 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $57.45 | 5.9% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $52.72 | 6.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $47.08 | 6.1% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $46.59 | 7.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $43.48 | 7.6% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× | | [P250 \| Red Rock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $36.39 | 8.9% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× | | [P2000 \| Woodsman (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $32.41 | 8.5% | 6 | 3.5 | 1.74× | | [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $28.39 | 3.2% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.02× | | [P2000 \| Woodsman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $27.73 | 3.1% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.02× | | [P250 \| Red Rock (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $23.75 | 2.7% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× | | [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $23.00 | 2.6% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.02× | | [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $21.42 | 2.4% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $19.71 | 2.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× | | [P250 \| Red Rock (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $19.47 | 2.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× | | [P2000 \| Woodsman (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $19.03 | 2.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× | | [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $16.88 | 1.9% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.02× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $11.09 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [FAMAS \| Macabre (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $8.12 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× | | [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $7.43 | 0.8% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.02× | | [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $6.49 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $5.46 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $5.08 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $4.80 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/hydra/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=hydra) [P90 | Death Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-field-tested) [турбо воин csgorun](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D1%82%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%20%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B8%D0%BD%20csgorun) $33.99 $19.71 0.58x 2026-11-08 18:47 UTC [P2000 | Woodsman (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-factory-new) [турбо воин csgorun](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D1%82%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%20%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B8%D0%BD%20csgorun) $33.99 $32.41 0.95x 2026-11-08 18:46 UTC [P2000 | Woodsman (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-factory-new) [турбо воин csgorun](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D1%82%D1%83%D1%80%D0%B1%D0%BE%20%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B8%D0%BD%20csgorun) $33.99 $32.41 0.95x 2026-11-08 18:46 UTC [SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-factory-new) [extazi68](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/extazi68) $33.99 $23.00 0.68x 2026-11-07 19:26 UTC [P250 | Red Rock (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-field-tested) [extazi68](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/extazi68) $33.99 $19.47 0.57x 2026-11-07 19:26 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) [AlanToms](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/AlanToms) $33.99 $16.88 0.50x 2026-11-06 16:09 UTC [AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) [AlanToms](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/AlanToms) $33.99 $28.39 0.84x 2026-11-06 16:09 UTC [MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-factory-new) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $33.99 $7.48 0.22x 2026-11-05 20:15 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-field-tested) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $33.99 $4.98 0.15x 2026-11-05 20:15 UTC [FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-factory-new) [Невесомость😺](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82%D1%8C%F0%9F%98%BA) $33.99 $7.59 0.22x 2026-11-05 20:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 05:23 UTC | $33.99 | 91.99% | 38 | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $33.99 | 94.00% | 38 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% extraordinary 0.3% Extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.3% classified 20.2% mil spec 26.6% restricted 38.5% violet 7.1% #4b69ff 3.5% milspec 3.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.99 on average: an expected loss of $8.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt