---
title: "Jujutsukaisen case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Jujutsukaisen ($2.01) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.62% from 42 items with odds, observed 88.74% over 274 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Jujutsukaisen](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Jujutsukaisen

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen?window=all)

Price · $2.01

Advertised RTP · 93.62% · EV $1.88 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.74% · 274 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 59.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.01% ±17.03 222 openings

7 days · 90.17% ±16.09 248 openings

30 days · 88.74% ±15.30 274 openings

since tracking started · 88.74% ±15.30 274 openings

72.5% 90.0% 107.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen?window=24h) | 222 | 90.01% ±17.0 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen?window=7d) | 248 | 90.17% ±16.1 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen) | 274 | 88.74% ±15.3 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen?window=all) | 274 | 88.74% ±15.3 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 274 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $1,265 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $626 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $453 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $405 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 500,000 | $290 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 250,000 | $172 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Wave Chaser (Battle-Scarred) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-wave-chaser-battle-scarred) | 1 in 142,857 | $131 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $99.58 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 71,429 | $82.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,194 | $39.18 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 5,682 | $35.43 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-well-worn) | 1 in 6,024 | $34.36 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-well-worn) | 1 in 3,597 | $28.87 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,891 | $27.12 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 708 | $16.30 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-minimal-wear) | 1 in 335 | $11.62 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) | 1 in 452 | $11.39 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Sleeping Potion (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion-factory-new) | 1 in 141 | $7.61 | 2.9% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $6.27 | 2.8% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.86× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $6.11 | 2.9% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.62× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $5.76 | 2.8% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $4.80 | 4.0% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.47× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $4.38 | 3.9% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.88× |
| [XM1014 \| Entombed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $3.71 | 4.2% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $3.58 | 4.3% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $3.55 | 4.0% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.87× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $3.14 | 4.9% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $3.04 | 4.8% | 8 | 8.2 | 0.98× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $2.77 | 4.6% | 10 | 8.5 | 1.17× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $2.73 | 4.9% | 10 | 9.3 | 1.08× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $2.44 | 5.5% | 23 | 11.6 | 1.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $2.04 | 5.5% | 10 | 14.0 | 0.71× |
| [XM1014 \| Solitude (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-solitude-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $2.02 | 5.3% | 14 | 13.5 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $1.96 | 4.6% | 10 | 12.2 | 0.82× |
| [Galil AR \| Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $1.73 | 5.1% | 11 | 15.1 | 0.73× |
| [P90 \| Vent Rush (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.29 | 4.1% | 16 | 16.2 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Brother (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-brother-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $1.14 | 3.7% | 15 | 16.7 | 0.90× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.77 | 2.7% | 22 | 17.8 | 1.24× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.58 | 2.1% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.40 | 1.7% | 21 | 21.3 | 0.98× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.35 | 1.4% | 21 | 21.1 | 1.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-yeti-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.20 | 0.9% | 26 | 23.5 | 1.10× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/jujutsukaisen/show`, 11 Nov, 16:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=jujutsukaisen)

[Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $2.01 $0.58 0.29x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC

[Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-well-worn) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $2.01 $0.40 0.20x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC

[Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $2.01 $0.58 0.29x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC

[P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-minimal-wear) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $2.01 $0.77 0.38x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC

[P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-field-tested) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $2.01 $0.35 0.17x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC

[AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $2.01 $4.38 2.18x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC

[P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-field-tested) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $2.01 $0.35 0.17x 2026-11-11 01:53 UTC

[M4A4 | Griffin (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-battle-scarred) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $2.01 $3.04 1.51x 2026-11-11 01:53 UTC

[P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-minimal-wear) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $2.01 $2.77 1.38x 2026-11-11 01:53 UTC

[P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-field-tested) [D1L-Duck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/D1L-Duck) $2.01 $0.35 0.17x 2026-11-11 01:53 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $2.01 | 93.62% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.04 | 92.25% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.04 | 93.43% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 7.8% covert 0.0% legendary 0.0% Immortal 0.0% classified 0.9% epic 0.0% gold 0.0% Ancient 0.0% uncommon 0.0% red 0.0% pink 2.5% Legendary 0.3% Mythical 18.7% rare 0.8% #8847ff 8.9% restricted 25.3% #d32ee6 1.7% blue 2.1% mil spec 2.9% violet 19.3% milspec 8.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.62 on average: an expected loss of $6.38 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
