---
title: "Kanyewest case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Kanyewest ($1.01) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.75% from 49 items with odds, observed 95.98% over 1,262 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Kanyewest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Kanyewest

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest?window=all)

Price · $1.01

Advertised RTP · 93.75% · EV $0.95 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.98% · 1,262 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 95.59% ±9.01 913 openings

30 days · 95.98% ±7.63 1,262 openings

since tracking started · 95.98% ±7.63 1,262 openings

-0.5% 122.3% 245.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest?window=24h) | 2 | 48.02% ±196.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest?window=7d) | 913 | 95.59% ±9.01 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest) | 1,262 | 95.98% ±7.63 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest?window=all) | 1,262 | 95.98% ±7.63 | +1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,264 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $653 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $544 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $292 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Copperhead (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-copperhead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333,333 | $123 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Twistzz (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-twistzz-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 200,000 | $100 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32,258 | $61.97 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16,129 | $25.10 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Blaze Orange (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Heavy](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13,699 | $24.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-well-worn) | 1 in 9,804 | $23.07 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-field-tested) | 1 in 2,433 | $11.53 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 2,193 | $11.37 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [P90 \| Sunset Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sunset-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 1,387 | $10.21 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 2,268 | $9.71 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 651 | $6.54 | 1.1% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.57× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Black Limba (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-black-limba-minimal-wear) | 1 in 511 | $6.33 | 1.3% | 6 | 2.5 | 2.43× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 230 | $4.31 | 2.0% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.46× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) | 1 in 122 | $3.77 | 3.3% | 9 | 10.3 | 0.87× |
| [P250 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $3.40 | 2.8% | 6 | 9.9 | 0.61× |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $3.34 | 3.0% | 16 | 10.9 | 1.46× |
| [XM1014 \| Black Tie (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $2.79 | 2.4% | 11 | 10.4 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $2.69 | 3.4% | 16 | 14.9 | 1.07× |
| [SSG 08 \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $2.45 | 2.6% | 21 | 12.8 | 1.64× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $2.33 | 2.9% | 16 | 14.9 | 1.07× |
| [MAG-7 \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 1 in 73 | $2.13 | 3.1% | 19 | 17.3 | 1.10× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Brass (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $1.99 | 2.8% | 23 | 16.8 | 1.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Bronze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 75 | $1.83 | 2.6% | 19 | 17.0 | 1.12× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $1.81 | 3.2% | 20 | 21.0 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Silent Shot (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $1.67 | 4.6% | 36 | 33.1 | 1.09× |
| [M4A4 \| Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1.44 | 4.6% | 35 | 38.2 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $1.38 | 3.3% | 17 | 28.8 | 0.59× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $1.28 | 4.2% | 36 | 39.6 | 0.91× |
| [SG 553 \| Triarch (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $1.24 | 4.1% | 38 | 40.0 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $1.04 | 4.0% | 40 | 45.9 | 0.87× |
| [MP9 \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.93 | 4.5% | 54 | 57.6 | 0.94× |
| [SSG 08 \| Memorial (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-memorial-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.86 | 4.1% | 63 | 57.4 | 1.10× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.82 | 3.9% | 59 | 56.7 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.82 | 3.9% | 67 | 57.4 | 1.17× |
| [MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $0.68 | 3.2% | 51 | 56.7 | 0.90× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.63 | 3.0% | 62 | 56.5 | 1.10× |
| [Galil AR \| Metallic Squeezer (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-metallic-squeezer-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.58 | 2.7% | 45 | 56.3 | 0.80× |
| [G3SG1 \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-black-sand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $0.45 | 2.1% | 58 | 55.5 | 1.05× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.40 | 1.8% | 41 | 54.2 | 0.76× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.30 | 1.3% | 59 | 53.0 | 1.11× |
| [XM1014 \| Copperflage (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.30 | 1.3% | 47 | 53.0 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.26 | 1.1% | 44 | 52.1 | 0.84× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.22 | 1.0% | 57 | 53.7 | 1.06× |
| [MAG-7 \| Metallic DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-metallic-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.14 | 0.6% | 57 | 51.0 | 1.12× |
| [SG 553 \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.11 | 0.5% | 57 | 50.0 | 1.14× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gold Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gold-leaf-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $0.07 | 0.3% | 43 | 48.4 | 0.89× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/kanyewest/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=kanyewest)

[SSG 08 | Memorial (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-memorial-factory-new) [tolstiyqqqq](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/tolstiyqqqq) $1.01 $0.86 0.85x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-damascus-steel-field-tested) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $1.01 $0.11 0.11x 2026-11-10 19:54 UTC

[P250 | Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) [M4a4legasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/M4a4legasy) $1.01 $3.40 3.37x 2026-11-09 13:43 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-minimal-wear) [M4a4legasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/M4a4legasy) $1.01 $0.22 0.22x 2026-11-09 13:43 UTC

[USP-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) [M4a4legasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/M4a4legasy) $1.01 $2.33 2.31x 2026-11-09 13:43 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) [M4a4legasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/M4a4legasy) $1.01 $0.63 0.62x 2026-11-09 13:43 UTC

[Tec-9 | Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) [M4a4legasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/M4a4legasy) $1.01 $3.77 3.73x 2026-11-09 13:43 UTC

[M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) [M4a4legasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/M4a4legasy) $1.01 $1.44 1.43x 2026-11-09 13:43 UTC

[Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) [M4a4legasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/M4a4legasy) $1.01 $3.34 3.31x 2026-11-09 13:43 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) [M4a4legasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/M4a4legasy) $1.01 $0.40 0.40x 2026-11-09 13:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $1.01 | 93.75% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.07 | 88.49% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.07 | 90.34% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 4.3% gold 0.0% covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% mil spec 24.9% Extraordinary 0.0% #8847ff 0.0% red 0.0% Heavy 0.0% restricted 4.2% pink 0.0% industrial 3.4% other 0.4% Rare 12.5% Mil Spec Grade 5.7% blue 18.3% Uncommon 2.7% violet 6.8% #4b69ff 8.7% #5E98D9 4.0% milspec 4.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.75 on average: an expected loss of $6.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt